ATEC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ATEC - Alphatec Holdings, Inc.
$8.50
-0.05 (-0.58%)
▼
5d:
+2.53%
30d:
+3.28%
90d:
-30.04%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ATEC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 31.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ATEC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 31.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.12
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.46
51.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATEC is currently trading at $8.50, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.77 to $8.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.7) compared to its historical average (45.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 31.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATEC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.86, while resistance sits at $9.22.
Market Sentiment: ATEC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.73 (+96.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATEC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.86, while resistance sits at $9.22.
Market Sentiment: ATEC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.73 (+96.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$7.77 -
$8.41
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 96.8% below Wall St target ($16.73)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.77 -
$8.41
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.86
Resistance Level
$9.22
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.72
Wall Street Target
$16.73
(+96.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.6%
Profit Margin
-15.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-31.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 45.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-31.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.65
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$6.89
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$6.20
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→45)
$18.99
(+123%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 80.8%)
$42.46
(+400%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 80.8%)
$28.69
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 80.8%)
$24.38
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.7 to 45.1
Stabilization Target:
$26.05
(+206.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+206.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ATEC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott Lish
SELL
260535 shares
2026-03-13
David Sponsel
SELL
163452 shares
2026-03-11
Craig E Hunsaker
SELL
82765 shares
2026-03-09
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ATEC price and gamma walls.
