Alphatec (ATEC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ATEC - Alphatec Holdings, Inc.
$10.58
1.74 (19.68%)
▲
5d:
+13.4%
30d:
+9.87%
90d:
+30.14%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ATEC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ATEC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.28
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.18
41.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATEC is currently trading at $10.58, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.13 to $9.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.6) compared to its historical average (36.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 21.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATEC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 19.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: ATEC scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.79 (+49.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATEC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 19.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: ATEC scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.79 (+49.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$9.13 -
$9.86
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ATEC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.3% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+19.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 49.2% below Wall St target ($15.79)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.13 -
$9.86
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.60
Resistance Level
$10.60
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.59
Wall Street Target
$15.79
(+49.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.1%
Profit Margin
-13.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-21.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.6 vs 36.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-21.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.52
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$8.57
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$7.71
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→37)
$16.00
(+51%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 86.5%)
$40.94
(+287%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.6, Growth: 86.5%)
$35.71
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.0, Growth: 86.5%)
$30.35
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.6 to 36.5
Stabilization Target:
$21.95
(+107.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+107.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 9:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ATEC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ATEC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ATEC price and gamma walls.
