Alphatec (ATEC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ATEC - Alphatec Holdings, Inc.
$10.86
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
+4.02%
30d:
+5.13%
90d:
+32.28%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ATEC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ATEC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.23
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.15
40.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATEC is currently trading at $10.86, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.10 to $10.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.1) compared to its historical average (34.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 19.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATEC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.06, while resistance sits at $11.54.
Market Sentiment: ATEC scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.79 (+45.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATEC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.06, while resistance sits at $11.54.
Market Sentiment: ATEC scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.79 (+45.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$10.10 -
$10.77
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ATEC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 45.4% below Wall St target ($15.79)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.10 -
$10.77
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.06
Resistance Level
$11.54
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.09
Wall Street Target
$15.79
(+45.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.1%
Profit Margin
-13.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-19.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.1 vs 34.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-19.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.77
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$8.80
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$7.92
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→34)
$14.93
(+37%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 84.1%)
$40.24
(+271%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.1, Growth: 84.1%)
$36.65
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.4, Growth: 84.1%)
$31.15
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.1 to 34.1
Stabilization Target:
$20.47
(+88.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+88.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 5:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ATEC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ATEC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ATEC price and gamma walls.
