ATEC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ATEC - Alphatec Holdings, Inc.
$9.52
-0.14 (-1.45%)
▼
5d:
+15.25%
30d:
+7.45%
90d:
-2.46%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ATEC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 26.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ATEC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 26.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.71
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.83
46.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATEC is currently trading at $9.52, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.48 to $9.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.1) compared to its historical average (40.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 26.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATEC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ATEC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.86 (+66.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATEC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ATEC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.86 (+66.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$8.48 -
$9.47
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 66.6% below Wall St target ($15.86)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.48 -
$9.47
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.01
Resistance Level
$9.80
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.14
Wall Street Target
$15.86
(+66.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.6%
Profit Margin
-15.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-26.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.1 vs 40.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-26.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.57
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$7.71
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$6.94
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→40)
$17.28
(+82%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 85.3%)
$41.26
(+333%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.1, Growth: 85.3%)
$32.13
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 85.3%)
$27.31
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.1 to 40.2
Stabilization Target:
$23.71
(+149.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+149.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 6:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ATEC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott Lish
SELL
260535 shares
2026-03-13
David Sponsel
SELL
163452 shares
2026-03-11
Craig E Hunsaker
SELL
82765 shares
2026-03-09
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ATEC price and gamma walls.