ATEC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ATEC - Alphatec Holdings, Inc.

SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS
$9.48
0.19 (2.05%) ▲
5d: -3.17%
30d: +15.47%
90d: +15.19%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: ATEC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -25.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.01
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.01
47.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ATEC is currently trading at $9.48, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.67 to $9.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.9) compared to its historical average (38.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 25.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ATEC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.10, while resistance sits at $10.00.

Market Sentiment: ATEC scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.79 (+66.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $8.67 - $9.84
Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 50.0%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 66.5% below Wall St target ($15.79)
  • WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $8.67 - $9.84
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.10
Resistance Level $10.00
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.91
Wall Street Target $15.79 (+66.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 15.1%
Profit Margin -13.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -25.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 15.9 vs 38.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -25.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $8.53 (-10%)
2-Year Target $7.68 (-19%)
3-Year Target $6.91 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→38) $16.59 (+75%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 85.4%) $40.36 (+326%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: 85.4%) $32.00 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 13.5, Growth: 85.4%) $27.20 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.9 to 38.2
Stabilization Target: $22.76 (+140.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +140.1%
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Last updated: August 22, 2026 6:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:41 PM
đŸ”Ĩ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott Lish SELL 260535 shares 2026-03-13
David Sponsel SELL 163452 shares 2026-03-11
Craig E Hunsaker SELL 82765 shares 2026-03-09

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