PODD Insulet Corporation SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS Best Medical Devices Stocks 2026 →

Insulet (PODD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$150.48
+0.45 (+0.30%) ▲
5d: -3.61% 30d: +12.36% 90d: +4.98%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (70%)
Quality Score
40/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$133.65 – $151.27
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
19.0x CHEAP
vs 26.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$178.57
+19.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$143.28 / $168.47
Trend: Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: PODD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -10.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 6, 2026 at $144.96 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026

Strength: 4.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$322.96
Based on 10.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$200.53
25.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PODD is currently trading at $150.48, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $133.65 to $151.27. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.0) compared to its historical average (26.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 63.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PODD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $143.28, while resistance sits at $168.47.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $178.57 (+19.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $133.65 - $151.27
Company Quality Score 40/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 70.0%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $133.65 - $151.27
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Support Level $143.28
Resistance Level $168.47
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 12, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($178.57)
  • WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.97
Wall Street Target $178.57 (+19.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 19.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 63.7%
Profit Margin 13.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -10.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 19.0 vs 26.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -10.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $135.03 (-10%)
2-Year Target $121.52 (-19%)
3-Year Target $109.37 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→27) $154.54 (+3%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 16.8%) $250.06 (+67%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: 16.8%) $238.81 (+59%)
Bear: (PE: 16.1, Growth: 16.8%) $202.99 (+35%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.12
Bull Case $210.51 (+40%)
Analyst growth 29.3%, PE expands to 26.6
Base Case $191.37 (+28%)
Market implied 29.3%, PE stable at 24.2
Bear Case $100.68 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.0 to 26.8
Stabilization Target: $211.99 (+41.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +41.3%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (PODD)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Insulet (PODD) is expected to report earnings growth next week, according to Wall Street consensus. The stock may react positively or negatively based on the actual results.
Key Retail Themes: earnings expectations stock price reaction
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:37 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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