PODD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PODD - Insulet Corporation
$143.30
0.87 (0.61%)
▲
5d:
-1.86%
30d:
-16.39%
90d:
-41.0%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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1 traders called PODD this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PODD appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -19.2% annual earnings decline despite 159% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PODD appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -19.2% annual earnings decline despite 159% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$392.21
Based on 14.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$243.53
41.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PODD is currently trading at $143.30, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $147.44 to $181.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.7) compared to its historical average (33.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 19.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 159.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PODD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $140.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $243.78 (+70.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PODD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $140.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $243.78 (+70.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$147.44 -
$181.67
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 70.1% below Wall St target ($243.78)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$147.44 -
$181.67
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$140.63
Resistance Level
$158.15
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.71
Wall Street Target
$243.78
(+70.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
159.0%
Profit Margin
10.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-19.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.7 vs 33.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-19.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$128.97
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$116.07
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$104.47
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→34)
$197.57
(+38%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 24.8%)
$344.74
(+141%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.7, Growth: 24.8%)
$278.70
(+95%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.1, Growth: 24.8%)
$236.90
(+65%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.06
Bull Case
$318.80
(+124%)
Analyst growth 98.5%, PE expands to 39.6
Base Case
$289.82
(+103%)
Market implied 98.5%, PE stable at 36.0
Bear Case
$99.29
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.7 to 33.5
Stabilization Target:
$271.02
(+89.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+89.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 8:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PODD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Michael R Minogue
BUY
2030 shares
2026-02-25
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-17
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