AUB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AUB - Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation
$40.36
0.74 (1.87%)
▲
5d:
+2.05%
30d:
+7.14%
90d:
+16.34%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AUB is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: AUB is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.54
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.38
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AUB is currently trading at $40.36, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.80 to $38.91. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.1) is in line with its historical norms (9.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AUB is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $40.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AUB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AUB is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $40.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AUB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$36.80 -
$38.91
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($44.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.80 -
$38.91
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.21
Resistance Level
$40.94
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.05
Wall Street Target
$44.25
(+9.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
86.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
61.5%
Profit Margin
24.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 9.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.17
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$41.99
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$42.83
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$40.47
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.6%)
$108.90
(+170%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 7.6%)
$50.27
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 7.6%)
$42.73
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.34
Bull Case
$73.90
(+87%)
Analyst growth 71.6%, PE expands to 18.4
Base Case
$67.18
(+70%)
Market implied 71.6%, PE stable at 16.7
Bear Case
$26.63
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AUB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Nancy H Agee
BUY
650 shares
2026-04-20
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