Atlantic Union Bankshares (AUB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AUB - Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation
$39.88
-0.23 (-0.56%)
▼
5d:
+4.63%
30d:
+3.52%
90d:
-5.44%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When AUB Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AUB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AUB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.92
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.86
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AUB is currently trading at $39.88, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.78 to $39.16. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.9) is in line with its historical norms (9.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AUB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $40.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AUB scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.75 (+14.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AUB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $40.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AUB scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.75 (+14.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$37.78 -
$39.16
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($45.75)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.78 -
$39.16
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.82
Resistance Level
$40.12
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.86
Wall Street Target
$45.75
(+14.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
53.0%
Profit Margin
34.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 9.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.30
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$40.50
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$40.70
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$40.06
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.1%)
$102.05
(+155%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 8.1%)
$50.64
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 8.1%)
$43.04
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.38
Bull Case
$51.22
(+28%)
Analyst growth 20.4%, PE expands to 12.6
Base Case
$46.56
(+16%)
Market implied 20.4%, PE stable at 11.4
Bear Case
$26.30
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 12:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:12 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AUB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Banks - Regional Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Banks - Regional by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
FITB
Fifth Third Bancorp |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$62 | 59 HOLD |
|
NU
Nu Holdings Ltd |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$19 | 37 SELL |
|
KEY
KeyCorp |
BUY
20 analysts |
$25 | 55 HOLD |
|
UMBF
UMB Financial Corporation |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$164 | 50 HOLD |
|
EWBC
East West Bancorp Inc |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$148 | 47 HOLD |
