Atlantic Union Bankshares (AUB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AUB - Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation
$39.72
0.10 (0.25%)
▲
5d:
-2.58%
30d:
-6.41%
90d:
+0.56%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AUB is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: AUB is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$51.27
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.83
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AUB is currently trading at $39.72, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.20 to $42.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.8) is in line with its historical norms (9.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AUB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.50 (+19.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AUB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.50 (+19.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$40.20 -
$42.45
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($47.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (54/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$40.20 -
$42.45
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.13
Resistance Level
$41.32
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.84
Wall Street Target
$47.50
(+19.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
35.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
834.8%
Profit Margin
32.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
9.8 vs 9.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.84
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$39.96
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$40.08
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$39.50
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 7.1%)
$100.02
(+152%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: 7.1%)
$48.81
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 7.1%)
$41.48
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.44
Bull Case
$51.13
(+29%)
Analyst growth 17.3%, PE expands to 12.7
Base Case
$46.48
(+17%)
Market implied 17.3%, PE stable at 11.5
Bear Case
$26.94
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 3:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AUB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Nancy H Agee
BUY
650 shares
2026-04-20
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