Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$158.31
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$98.30
12.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
Valuation Analysis: AVT is currently trading at $85.81, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $84.69 to $90.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.8) is in line with its historical norms (10.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $80.13, while resistance sits at $88.86.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Avnet Inc is an electronic component technology distributor and solutions provider. It serves customers from startups and mid-sized businesses to enterprise-level original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), electronic manufacturing services (EMS) providers, and original design manufacturers (ODMs). The group operates in the Electronic Components segment and supports high and medium-volume customers to markets, sells, and distributes electronic components, and the Farnell segment supports lower-volume customers that need electronic components quickly to develop, prototype, and test their products. Its geographic regions are the Americas, EMEA, and Asia.