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Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$166.17
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$103.18
13.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
Valuation Analysis: AVT is currently trading at $89.01, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $93.13 to $102.91. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.1) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVT is showing support break momentum. Immediate support is located at $85.66, while resistance sits at $100.72.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $106.25 (+19.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$93.13 -
$102.91
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
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Avnet Inc is an electronic component technology distributor and solutions provider. It serves customers from startups and mid-sized businesses to enterprise-level original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), electronic manufacturing services (EMS) providers, and original design manufacturers (ODMs). The group operates in the Electronic Components segment and supports high and medium-volume customers to markets, sells, and distributes electronic components, and the Farnell segment supports lower-volume customers that need electronic components quickly to develop, prototype, and test their products. Its geographic regions are the Americas, EMEA, and Asia.