Avnet (AVT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AVT - Avnet, Inc.
$106.94
4.70 (4.59%)
▲
5d:
+3.74%
30d:
+18.83%
90d:
+29.68%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AVT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AVT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$164.62
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$102.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AVT is currently trading at $106.94, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $89.47 to $100.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.4) compared to its historical average (10.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $108.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: AVT scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $108.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: AVT scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$89.47 -
$100.30
Company Quality Score
32/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AVT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.6% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.6%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($106.25)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 8.0% growth expectation is conservative given 1969% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$89.47 -
$100.30
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$95.05
Resistance Level
$108.63
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.41
Wall Street Target
$106.25
(-0.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
47.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1968.9%
Profit Margin
1.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.0% premium
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 10.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$115.49
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$124.73
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$134.71
(+26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$106.49
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 55.5%)
$549.08
(+414%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 55.5%)
$360.91
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 55.5%)
$285.31
(+167%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.10
Bull Case
$218.76
(+105%)
Analyst growth 94.5%, PE expands to 27.4
Base Case
$198.87
(+86%)
Market implied 94.5%, PE stable at 24.9
Bear Case
$69.52
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 7:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AVT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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