BMA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BMA - Banco Macro S.A.

Commercial Banks, NEC
$94.01
-3.28 (-3.37%) ▼
5d: -5.95%
30d: +20.01%
90d: +33.66%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 27, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BMA trades at premium valuation expecting 18.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$588459.16
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$365386.84
100.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BMA is currently trading at $94.00, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.64 to $96.63. At these levels, the market is pricing in 18.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BMA is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $84.45, while resistance sits at $103.61. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.

Market Sentiment: BMA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $113.74 (+16.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $77.64 - $96.63
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 72.4%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($113.74)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 18.3% growth with -99.6% revenue growth
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.9% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $77.64 - $96.63
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $84.45
Resistance Level $103.61
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Jun 23, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 0.01
Wall Street Target $113.74 (+16.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -99.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -27.4%
Profit Margin 7.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +18.3% premium
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +18.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $115.08 (+18%)
2-Year Target $136.14 (+40%)
3-Year Target $161.06 (+66%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 62.8%) $1110637.09 (+1141591%)
Base: (SPY PE: 0.0, Growth: 62.8%) $328.32 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 0.0, Growth: 62.8%) $279.07 (+187%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (0x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.03
Bull Case $223.70 (+130%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 27.8
Base Case $203.36 (+109%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 25.2
Bear Case $69.14 (-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 3:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:30 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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