CCS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCS - CENTURY COMMUNITIES, INC.
$67.16
-1.41 (-2.06%)
▼
5d:
-3.2%
30d:
-3.84%
90d:
+19.89%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CCS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CCS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.24
Based on -0.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.57
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCS is currently trading at $67.16, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.94 to $70.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.6) compared to its historical average (11.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $63.00, while resistance sits at $72.88.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.00 (+16.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $63.00, while resistance sits at $72.88.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.00 (+16.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$64.94 -
$70.44
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
69.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($78.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 9.3% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$64.94 -
$70.44
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$63.00
Resistance Level
$72.88
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.63
Wall Street Target
$78.00
(+16.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.5%
Profit Margin
3.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.3% premium
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 11.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$73.41
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$80.23
(+20%)
3-Year Target
$87.69
(+31%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$67.13
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: -5.6%)
$80.16
(+19%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: -5.6%)
$56.58
(-16%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: -5.6%)
$43.31
(-36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.48
Bull Case
$77.28
(+15%)
Analyst growth 2.5%, PE expands to 16.8
Base Case
$70.25
(+5%)
Market implied 2.5%, PE stable at 15.3
Bear Case
$46.63
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 9:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Dale Francescon
SELL
100100 shares
2026-02-12
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