CCS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCS - CENTURY COMMUNITIES, INC.
$62.45
-0.80 (-1.26%)
▼
5d:
+4.0%
30d:
+23.84%
90d:
+12.2%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CCS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 14.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CCS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 14.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$54.39
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.77
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCS is currently trading at $62.45, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.20 to $59.76. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.2) compared to its historical average (10.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCS is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $63.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CCS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.00 (+24.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCS is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $63.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CCS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.00 (+24.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$51.20 -
$59.76
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.9% below Wall St target ($78.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 14.4% growth with -12.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$51.20 -
$59.76
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$55.10
Resistance Level
$63.92
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.23
Wall Street Target
$78.00
(+24.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-12.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-33.6%
Profit Margin
3.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+14.4% premium
PE vs Historical
15.2 vs 10.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+14.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$71.44
(+14%)
2-Year Target
$81.73
(+31%)
3-Year Target
$93.50
(+50%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$62.61
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.8%)
$108.69
(+74%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.2, Growth: 6.8%)
$76.01
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 6.8%)
$50.90
(-19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.44
Bull Case
$64.25
(+3%)
Analyst growth -7.7%, PE expands to 15.7
Base Case
$58.41
(-7%)
Market implied -7.7%, PE stable at 14.3
Bear Case
$43.01
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Dale Francescon
SELL
100100 shares
2026-02-12
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