CENTURY COMMUNITIES (CCS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCS - CENTURY COMMUNITIES, INC.
$60.54
0.98 (1.65%)
▲
5d:
-5.23%
30d:
-14.07%
90d:
-0.2%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CCS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CCS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$51.44
Based on -0.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.94
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCS is currently trading at $60.54, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.41 to $71.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.2) compared to its historical average (11.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CCS scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.00 (+28.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CCS scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.00 (+28.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$64.41 -
$71.34
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.8% below Wall St target ($78.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$64.41 -
$71.34
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.13
Resistance Level
$69.63
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.19
Wall Street Target
$78.00
(+28.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.5%
Profit Margin
3.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.9% premium
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 11.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.90
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$65.35
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$67.90
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$60.23
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -5.6%)
$77.99
(+29%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: -5.6%)
$51.00
(-16%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: -5.6%)
$43.35
(-28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.35
Bull Case
$69.13
(+14%)
Analyst growth 5.5%, PE expands to 15.1
Base Case
$62.85
(+4%)
Market implied 5.5%, PE stable at 13.7
Bear Case
$40.50
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 7:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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