CENTURY COMMUNITIES (CCS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$54.09
-2.85 (-5.01%)
âŧ
5d:
+3.19%
30d:
-1.73%
90d:
-23.22%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (56%)
Quality Score
38/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$53.99 â $57.51
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
23.4x
STRETCHED
vs 12.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$72.00
+33.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$50.45 / $59.00
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CCS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 24.3% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.96
Based on -16.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.81
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCS is currently trading at $54.09, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.99 to $57.51. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.4) compared to its historical average (12.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 24.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $50.45, while resistance sits at $58.99. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: CCS scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.00 (+33.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $50.45, while resistance sits at $58.99. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: CCS scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.00 (+33.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$53.99 -
$57.51
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$53.99 -
$57.51
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$50.45
Resistance Level
$59.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (27/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 33.1% below Wall St target ($72.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 24.3% growth with -11.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.42
Wall Street Target
$72.00
(+33.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-64.8%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+24.3% premium
PE vs Historical
23.4 vs 12.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+24.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$67.23
(+24%)
2-Year Target
$83.57
(+55%)
3-Year Target
$103.88
(+92%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23â12)
PE COMPRESSION
$54.12
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.4, Growth: -36.0%)
$39.43
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -36.0%)
$33.44
(-38%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: -36.0%)
$20.54
(-62%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.75
Bull Case
$38.58
(-29%)
Analyst growth -38.4%, PE expands to 16.7
Base Case
$35.08
(-35%)
Market implied -38.4%, PE stable at 15.2
Bear Case
$38.72
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CCS)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Century Communities (CCS) reported Q3 earnings of $1.01 per share, missing estimates by $0.21 and revenues of $864.47 million, missing estimates by $115.81 million.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
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Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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