CENTURY COMMUNITIES (CCS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCS - CENTURY COMMUNITIES, INC.
$60.16
-0.09 (-0.15%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.97%
30d:
-7.25%
90d:
-14.04%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CCS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CCS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.32
Based on -0.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.48
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCS is currently trading at $60.16, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.09 to $66.62. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.1) compared to its historical average (11.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $57.47, while resistance sits at $64.23.
Market Sentiment: CCS scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.00 (+29.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $57.47, while resistance sits at $64.23.
Market Sentiment: CCS scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.00 (+29.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$60.09 -
$66.62
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (22/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.7% below Wall St target ($78.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$60.09 -
$66.62
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.47
Resistance Level
$64.23
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.11
Wall Street Target
$78.00
(+29.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.5%
Profit Margin
3.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.4% premium
PE vs Historical
13.1 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.21
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$64.32
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$66.51
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13â12)
PE COMPRESSION
$60.38
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -5.6%)
$78.88
(+31%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: -5.6%)
$50.68
(-16%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: -5.6%)
$43.08
(-28%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.53
Bull Case
$67.15
(+12%)
Analyst growth 1.3%, PE expands to 14.6
Base Case
$61.05
(+2%)
Market implied 1.3%, PE stable at 13.3
Bear Case
$40.97
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 01, 2026 11:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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