VTMX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VTMX - Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A.B de C.V., American Depositary Shares, each representing ten (10) Common Shares

Real Estate
$31.94
-0.24 (-0.75%) ▼
5d: -2.05%
30d: -6.66%
90d: -7.66%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026 19d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VTMX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.00
Based on 0.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.49
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VTMX is currently trading at $31.94, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.73 to $34.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.3) is in line with its historical norms (15.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VTMX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: VTMX scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.90 (+15.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $32.73 - $34.52
Company Quality Score 44/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 55.7%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($36.90)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $32.73 - $34.52
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $31.60
Resistance Level $34.00
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.31
Wall Street Target $36.90 (+15.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 16.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 237.8%
Profit Margin 132.2%
PE vs Historical 15.3 vs 15.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): 0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $31.94 (0%)
2-Year Target $31.94 (0%)
3-Year Target $31.94 (0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→15) PE COMPRESSION $31.91 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: -2.6%) $39.32 (+23%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: -2.6%) $29.52 (-8%)
Bear: (PE: 13.0, Growth: -2.6%) $25.09 (-22%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.58
Bull Case $17.70 (-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 7.7
Base Case $16.09 (-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 7.0
Bear Case $21.88 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 01, 2026 11:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:02 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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