VTMX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VTMX - Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A.B de C.V., American Depositary Shares, each representing ten (10) Common Shares

Real Estate
$33.68
-0.17 (-0.50%) ▼
5d: -1.89%
30d: -2.6%
90d: +6.75%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026 28d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VTMX is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.17
Based on 3.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.70
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VTMX is currently trading at $33.68, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.88 to $34.69. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.7) is in line with its historical norms (14.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VTMX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $32.40, while resistance sits at $35.19.

Market Sentiment: VTMX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $33.88 - $34.69
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 53.3%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($36.70)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $33.88 - $34.69
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $32.40
Resistance Level $35.19
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.73
Wall Street Target $36.70 (+9.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 14.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 583.8%
Profit Margin 112.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.9% premium
PE vs Historical 15.7 vs 14.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $34.32 (+2%)
2-Year Target $34.97 (+4%)
3-Year Target $35.64 (+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→15) PE COMPRESSION $33.76 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 3.3%) $51.44 (+53%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.7, Growth: 3.3%) $37.15 (+10%)
Bear: (PE: 13.4, Growth: 3.3%) $31.57 (-6%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.81
Bull Case $20.93 (-38%)
Analyst growth -43.8%, PE expands to 9.8
Base Case $19.03 (-44%)
Market implied -43.8%, PE stable at 8.9
Bear Case $23.02 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:19 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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