VTMX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VTMX - Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A.B de C.V., American Depositary Shares, each representing ten (10) Common Shares
$36.20
-0.52 (-1.42%)
▼
5d:
+5.6%
30d:
+10.27%
90d:
+7.45%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VTMX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VTMX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.21
Based on 0.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.62
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VTMX is currently trading at $36.20, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.46 to $34.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.4) compared to its historical average (15.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTMX is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $36.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VTMX scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTMX is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $36.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VTMX scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$32.46 -
$34.86
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($37.40)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.46 -
$34.86
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.73
Resistance Level
$36.95
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.36
Wall Street Target
$37.40
(+3.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
237.8%
Profit Margin
132.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.1% premium
PE vs Historical
17.4 vs 15.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.68
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$39.23
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$40.84
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$36.23
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -2.6%)
$38.28
(+6%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.4, Growth: -2.6%)
$33.45
(-8%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.8, Growth: -2.6%)
$28.43
(-22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.58
Bull Case
$20.20
(-44%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 8.8
Base Case
$18.36
(-49%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 8.0
Bear Case
$24.97
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 7:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:05 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is VTMX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
