VTMX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VTMX - Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A.B de C.V., American Depositary Shares, each representing ten (10) Common Shares

Real Estate
$35.91
1.41 (4.09%) ▲
5d: +5.77%
30d: +6.59%
90d: +5.37%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VTMX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.78
Based on 0.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.36
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VTMX is currently trading at $35.91, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.78 to $34.76. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.2) compared to its historical average (15.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VTMX is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $36.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $33.78 - $34.76
Company Quality Score 42/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 51.9%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.1%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($36.90)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $33.78 - $34.76
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $33.11
Resistance Level $36.05
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.22
Wall Street Target $36.90 (+2.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 16.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 237.8%
Profit Margin 132.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.3% premium
PE vs Historical 17.2 vs 15.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $37.45 (+4%)
2-Year Target $39.06 (+9%)
3-Year Target $40.74 (+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→15) PE COMPRESSION $35.97 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: -2.6%) $38.68 (+8%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.2, Growth: -2.6%) $33.18 (-8%)
Bear: (PE: 14.6, Growth: -2.6%) $28.21 (-22%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.65
Bull Case $18.98 (-47%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 8.2
Base Case $17.25 (-52%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 7.4
Bear Case $23.46 (-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 22, 2026 5:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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