VTMX
Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A.B de C.V., American Depositary Shares, each representing ten (10) Common Shares
Real Estate
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VTMX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$38.00
-0.33 (-0.86%)
▼
5d:
+5.41%
30d:
+10.24%
90d:
+9.83%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (24%)
Quality Score
47/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$34.25 – $37.24
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
18.2x
STRETCHED
vs 15.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$37.40
-1.6% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$35.45 / $38.50
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VTMX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.64
Based on 0.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.89
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VTMX is currently trading at $38.00, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.25 to $37.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.2) compared to its historical average (15.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTMX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $38.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VTMX scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTMX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $38.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VTMX scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$34.25 -
$37.24
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$34.25 -
$37.24
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$35.45
Resistance Level
$38.50
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (27/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($37.40)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 5.4% growth expectation is conservative given 305% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.22
Wall Street Target
$37.40
(-1.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
304.8%
Profit Margin
156.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.4% premium
PE vs Historical
18.2 vs 15.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.05
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$42.21
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$44.49
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$38.10
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -2.6%)
$38.28
(+1%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.2, Growth: -2.6%)
$35.12
(-8%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.5, Growth: -2.6%)
$29.85
(-22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.56
Bull Case
$21.08
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 7.6
Base Case
$19.17
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 6.9
Bear Case
$26.06
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VTMX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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