CVBF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CVBF - CVB Financial Corp
$20.84
-0.39 (-1.84%)
▼
5d:
+1.66%
30d:
+5.41%
90d:
+9.66%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CVBF shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CVBF shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.31
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.44
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVBF is currently trading at $20.84, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.91 to $20.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.3) is in line with its historical norms (11.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVBF is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $21.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CVBF has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.00 (+13.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVBF is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $21.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CVBF has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.00 (+13.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$19.91 -
$20.75
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($24.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.91 -
$20.75
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.86
Resistance Level
$21.22
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 12, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.27
Wall Street Target
$24.00
(+13.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.4%
Profit Margin
40.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 11.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.34
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$21.44
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$21.55
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.23
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 12.9%)
$59.51
(+180%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 12.9%)
$30.59
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 12.9%)
$26.00
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.53
Bull Case
$28.34
(+34%)
Analyst growth 23.1%, PE expands to 15.0
Base Case
$25.76
(+21%)
Market implied 23.1%, PE stable at 13.7
Bear Case
$14.23
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 4:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CVBF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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