CVB Financial (CVBF) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$22.62
-0.18 (-0.77%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.23%
30d:
+5.28%
90d:
-2.35%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (71%)
Quality Score
46/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$21.77 â $22.95
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.5x
FAIR
vs 11.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$26.08
+14.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$22.28 / $23.95
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CVBF is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.71
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.93
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVBF is currently trading at $22.61, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.77 to $22.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.5) is in line with its historical norms (11.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVBF is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $22.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.08 (+14.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVBF is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $22.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.08 (+14.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$21.77 -
$22.95
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$21.77 -
$22.95
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$22.28
Resistance Level
$23.95
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($26.08)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.49
Wall Street Target
$26.08
(+14.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
54.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.8%
Profit Margin
36.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 11.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.95
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$23.11
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$23.27
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11â11)
PE COMPRESSION
$22.68
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.5%)
$57.66
(+153%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 13.5%)
$33.36
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 13.5%)
$28.36
(+24%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.51
Bull Case
$33.17
(+46%)
Analyst growth 31.3%, PE expands to 16.7
Base Case
$30.16
(+32%)
Market implied 31.3%, PE stable at 15.2
Bear Case
$15.61
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: November 11, 2026 2:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:03 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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