CVB Financial (CVBF) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CVBF - CVB Financial Corp
$22.01
0.40 (1.85%)
▲
5d:
-1.3%
30d:
+0.64%
90d:
-3.51%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
25d
Get Alerted When CVBF Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CVBF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CVBF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.20
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.86
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVBF is currently trading at $22.01, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.04 to $22.63. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.0) is in line with its historical norms (11.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVBF is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $21.32, while resistance sits at $22.89.
Market Sentiment: CVBF scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.00 (+18.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVBF is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $21.32, while resistance sits at $22.89.
Market Sentiment: CVBF scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.00 (+18.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$22.04 -
$22.63
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (18/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($26.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.04 -
$22.63
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.33
Resistance Level
$22.89
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.01
Wall Street Target
$26.00
(+18.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
42.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-21.6%
Profit Margin
36.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 11.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.86
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$21.70
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$21.55
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$22.11
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 14.7%)
$61.57
(+180%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 14.7%)
$33.24
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 14.7%)
$28.26
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.44
Bull Case
$32.99
(+50%)
Analyst growth 38.8%, PE expands to 16.5
Base Case
$29.99
(+36%)
Market implied 38.8%, PE stable at 15.0
Bear Case
$14.69
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.0 to 11.3
Stabilization Target:
$22.58
(+2.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 6:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:42 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CVBF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Banks - Regional Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Banks - Regional by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
FITB
Fifth Third Bancorp |
BUY
24 analysts |
$63 | 50 HOLD |
|
PNC
PNC Financial Services G… |
BUY
23 analysts |
$277 | 49 HOLD |
|
NU
Nu Holdings Ltd |
BUY
20 analysts |
$19 | 65 BUY |
|
MTB
M&T Bank Corporation |
BUY
21 analysts |
$258 | 45 HOLD |
|
TFC
Truist Financial Corp |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$55 | 47 HOLD |
