CVB Financial (CVBF) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CVBF - CVB Financial Corp
$22.44
0.05 (0.22%)
▲
5d:
-0.18%
30d:
-2.43%
90d:
+7.27%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CVBF shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CVBF shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.03
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.75
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVBF is currently trading at $22.44, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.25 to $22.94. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.3) is in line with its historical norms (11.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVBF is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CVBF scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.17 (+16.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVBF is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CVBF scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.17 (+16.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$22.25 -
$22.94
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($26.17)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 61/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.25 -
$22.94
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.78
Resistance Level
$22.78
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.26
Wall Street Target
$26.17
(+16.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
42.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-21.6%
Profit Margin
36.1%
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 11.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.44
(0%)
2-Year Target
$22.44
(0%)
3-Year Target
$22.44
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$22.52
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 14.6%)
$60.44
(+169%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 14.6%)
$33.74
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 14.6%)
$28.68
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.46
Bull Case
$33.63
(+50%)
Analyst growth 36.5%, PE expands to 16.9
Base Case
$30.57
(+36%)
Market implied 36.5%, PE stable at 15.3
Bear Case
$15.23
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 2:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CVBF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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