CVBF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CVBF - CVB Financial Corp
$21.55
0.50 (2.38%)
▲
5d:
+3.41%
30d:
+6.05%
90d:
+12.06%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CVBF shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CVBF shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.69
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVBF is currently trading at $21.55, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.93 to $20.83. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.4) is in line with its historical norms (11.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVBF is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $21.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CVBF has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.00 (+11.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVBF is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $21.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CVBF has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.00 (+11.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$19.93 -
$20.83
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($24.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.93 -
$20.83
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.86
Resistance Level
$21.22
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 12, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.40
Wall Street Target
$24.00
(+11.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.4%
Profit Margin
40.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
11.4 vs 11.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.74
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$21.94
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$22.14
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.55
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.3%)
$59.88
(+178%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 13.3%)
$31.35
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 13.3%)
$26.65
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.53
Bull Case
$28.28
(+34%)
Analyst growth 23.5%, PE expands to 15.0
Base Case
$25.71
(+22%)
Market implied 23.5%, PE stable at 13.6
Bear Case
$14.15
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CVBF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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