CVBF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CVBF - CVB Financial Corp
$22.57
0.05 (0.22%)
▲
5d:
-2.92%
30d:
+0.94%
90d:
+11.07%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CVBF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CVBF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.03
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.75
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVBF is currently trading at $22.57, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.46 to $23.03. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.3) is in line with its historical norms (11.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVBF is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.17 (+15.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVBF is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.17 (+15.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$22.46 -
$23.03
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($26.17)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.2% growth with 42.0% revenue growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (44/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.46 -
$23.03
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.37
Resistance Level
$23.41
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.32
Wall Street Target
$26.17
(+15.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
42.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-21.6%
Profit Margin
36.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 11.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.62
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$22.66
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$22.71
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$22.66
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 14.6%)
$60.14
(+167%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 14.6%)
$33.93
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 14.6%)
$28.84
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.44
Bull Case
$34.29
(+52%)
Analyst growth 38.4%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$31.17
(+38%)
Market implied 38.4%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$15.31
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CVBF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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