DOCN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DOCN - DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc.

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.
$115.64
1.29 (1.13%) β–²
5d: -10.99%
30d: -11.83%
90d: -26.97%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Protect Your DOCN Gains
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 19, 2026 at $116.73 · last confirmed Aug 19, 2026

Strength: 7.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: DOCN is down 11.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$90.15
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$55.97
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DOCN is currently trading at $115.64, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $116.12 to $131.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 62.5) compared to its historical average (55.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DOCN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $111.62, while resistance sits at $138.31.

Market Sentiment: DOCN scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $175.21 (+51.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $116.12 - $131.59
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 60.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 51.5% below Wall St target ($175.21)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.2% growth with 28.6% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $116.12 - $131.59
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $111.62
Resistance Level $138.31
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 62.45
Wall Street Target $175.21 (+51.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 28.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -24.5%
Profit Margin 23.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.2% premium
PE vs Historical 62.5 vs 55.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $120.50 (+4%)
2-Year Target $125.56 (+9%)
3-Year Target $130.83 (+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 62β†’55) PE COMPRESSION $115.64 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 62.5, Growth: 27.4%) $239.34 (+107%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 27.4%) $76.92 (-34%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 27.4%) $65.38 (-44%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 52.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.16
Bull Case $107.83 (-7%)
Analyst growth -14.3%, PE expands to 58.2
Base Case $98.03 (-15%)
Market implied -14.3%, PE stable at 52.9
Bear Case $77.76 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 45.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 22, 2026 4:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:55 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Matt Steinfort SELL 20000 shares 2026-03-03
Cherie Barrett SELL 22000 shares 2026-03-02

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Advanced DOCN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DOCN price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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