FBK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FBK - FB Financial Corporation
$61.10
0.72 (1.19%)
▲
5d:
+3.77%
30d:
+9.3%
90d:
+12.79%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 13, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FBK is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: FBK is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$78.62
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.82
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FBK is currently trading at $61.10, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.16 to $59.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.8) is in line with its historical norms (11.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FBK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $61.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FBK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $61.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$56.16 -
$59.82
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($66.09)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$56.16 -
$59.82
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.39
Resistance Level
$61.48
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.76
Wall Street Target
$66.09
(+9.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
130.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1783.4%
Profit Margin
30.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
11.8 vs 11.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.71
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$63.07
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$64.45
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$60.31
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 9.7%)
$140.53
(+133%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: 9.7%)
$79.69
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 9.7%)
$67.74
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.80
Bull Case
$89.36
(+48%)
Analyst growth 35.2%, PE expands to 17.4
Base Case
$81.23
(+35%)
Market implied 35.2%, PE stable at 15.8
Bear Case
$40.87
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 4:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FBK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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