FBK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FBK - FB Financial Corporation
$54.73
0.91 (1.69%)
▲
5d:
+1.77%
30d:
+4.07%
90d:
+5.86%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 13, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FBK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FBK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$74.93
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.52
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FBK is currently trading at $54.73, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.23 to $54.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.8) is in line with its historical norms (11.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 31.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FBK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FBK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.43 (+17.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FBK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FBK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.43 (+17.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$52.23 -
$54.05
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($64.43)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$52.23 -
$54.05
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$51.50
Resistance Level
$54.48
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.80
Wall Street Target
$64.43
(+17.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
31.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.0%
Profit Margin
25.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 11.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$54.46
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$54.18
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$53.91
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$54.92
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.2%)
$139.85
(+156%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 8.2%)
$69.34
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 8.2%)
$58.94
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.71
Bull Case
$111.10
(+103%)
Analyst growth 87.0%, PE expands to 21.9
Base Case
$101.00
(+85%)
Market implied 87.0%, PE stable at 19.9
Bear Case
$36.72
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.8 to 11.0
Stabilization Target:
$55.75
(+1.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 10:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:28 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is FBK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James Austin Mcpherson
SELL
8500 shares
2026-01-15
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