FB Financial (FBK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FBK - FB Financial Corporation
$54.76
-0.18 (-0.33%)
▼
5d:
-3.91%
30d:
-11.75%
90d:
+1.18%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 13, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FBK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FBK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.59
Based on 6.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.42
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FBK is currently trading at $54.76, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.26 to $61.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.7) is in line with its historical norms (11.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1783.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FBK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $54.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FBK scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.34 (+21.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FBK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $54.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FBK scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.34 (+21.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$56.26 -
$61.18
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (62/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.2% below Wall St target ($66.34)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$56.26 -
$61.18
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$54.02
Resistance Level
$58.07
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.65
Wall Street Target
$66.34
(+21.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
130.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1783.4%
Profit Margin
30.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 11.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$54.05
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$53.35
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$52.65
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$54.87
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 9.8%)
$137.37
(+151%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 9.8%)
$72.54
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 9.8%)
$61.66
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.78
Bull Case
$82.20
(+50%)
Analyst growth 36.0%, PE expands to 16.0
Base Case
$74.73
(+37%)
Market implied 36.0%, PE stable at 14.5
Bear Case
$37.36
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 11.1
Stabilization Target:
$57.07
(+4.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FBK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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