FHN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FHN - First Horizon Corporation
$25.76
0.36 (1.42%)
▲
5d:
+0.08%
30d:
+3.33%
90d:
+7.42%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 15, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FHN is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: FHN is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.06
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FHN is currently trading at $25.76, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.83 to $25.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.7) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.03 (+10.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.03 (+10.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$24.83 -
$25.76
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($28.03)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.83 -
$25.76
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.48
Resistance Level
$26.31
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 16, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.73
Wall Street Target
$28.03
(+10.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.3%
Profit Margin
29.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 10.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.45
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$25.50
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$25.55
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.48
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.0, Growth: 10.7%)
$67.39
(+165%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 10.7%)
$34.43
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 10.7%)
$29.26
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.99
Bull Case
$32.63
(+29%)
Analyst growth 18.9%, PE expands to 13.8
Base Case
$29.66
(+17%)
Market implied 18.9%, PE stable at 12.5
Bear Case
$16.96
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FHN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-05
Anthony J Restel
SELL
5719 shares
2026-01-29
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