FHN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FHN - First Horizon Corporation
$24.63
-0.05 (-0.20%)
▼
5d:
-6.06%
30d:
-3.49%
90d:
+2.2%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 14, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FHN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FHN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.85
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FHN is currently trading at $24.63, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.18 to $25.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.7) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.11 (+14.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.11 (+14.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$25.18 -
$25.99
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($28.11)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (46/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.1%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.18 -
$25.99
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.41
Resistance Level
$26.33
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.68
Wall Street Target
$28.11
(+14.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.0%
Profit Margin
30.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 10.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.61
(0%)
2-Year Target
$24.58
(0%)
3-Year Target
$24.56
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$24.60
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 7.8%)
$57.95
(+135%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 7.8%)
$30.84
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 7.8%)
$26.22
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.06
Bull Case
$30.39
(+23%)
Analyst growth 11.9%, PE expands to 13.2
Base Case
$27.62
(+12%)
Market implied 11.9%, PE stable at 12.0
Bear Case
$16.78
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 10.7
Stabilization Target:
$24.67
(+0.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 1:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FHN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-05
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