FOR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FOR - Forestar Group Inc.
$29.17
0.29 (1.00%)
▲
5d:
-0.92%
30d:
+4.51%
90d:
+11.34%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FOR is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: FOR is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.95
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FOR is currently trading at $29.17, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.19 to $29.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.7) compared to its historical average (8.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.00 (+16.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.00 (+16.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$28.19 -
$29.80
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($34.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (51/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.19 -
$29.80
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.50
Resistance Level
$29.92
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.72
Wall Street Target
$34.00
(+16.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
22.3%
Profit Margin
9.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.8% premium
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 8.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.57
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$32.04
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$33.58
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.35
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 3.9%)
$67.58
(+132%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 3.9%)
$32.74
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: 3.9%)
$27.83
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.27
Bull Case
$29.14
(0%)
Analyst growth -8.3%, PE expands to 9.7
Base Case
$26.50
(-9%)
Market implied -8.3%, PE stable at 8.8
Bear Case
$19.64
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 10:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:22 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FOR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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