FOR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FOR - Forestar Group Inc.
$28.15
-0.62 (-2.16%)
▼
5d:
-0.6%
30d:
-9.8%
90d:
-0.39%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FOR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FOR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.22
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.77
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FOR is currently trading at $28.15, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.43 to $31.16. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.4) compared to its historical average (8.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $26.07, while resistance sits at $29.90.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.00 (+20.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $26.07, while resistance sits at $29.90.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.00 (+20.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$28.43 -
$31.16
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.8% below Wall St target ($34.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.43 -
$31.16
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.08
Resistance Level
$29.90
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.38
Wall Street Target
$34.00
(+20.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
22.3%
Profit Margin
9.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.0% premium
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 8.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.28
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$30.45
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$31.66
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.01
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 3.9%)
$69.80
(+148%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: 3.9%)
$31.60
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 3.9%)
$26.86
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.33
Bull Case
$28.51
(+1%)
Analyst growth -9.9%, PE expands to 9.5
Base Case
$25.92
(-8%)
Market implied -9.9%, PE stable at 8.6
Bear Case
$19.56
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 12:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FOR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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