Forestar Group (FOR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$22.24
-0.60 (-2.63%)
▼
5d:
-9.08%
30d:
-10.07%
90d:
-24.46%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (57%)
Quality Score
44/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$23.90 – $26.05
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
8.0x
FAIR
vs 8.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$34.00
+48.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$22.04 / $25.29
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FOR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.26
Based on -44.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FOR is currently trading at $22.24, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.90 to $26.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.0) is in line with its historical norms (8.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FOR scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.00 (+48.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FOR scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.00 (+48.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$23.90 -
$26.05
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$23.90 -
$26.05
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$22.04
Resistance Level
$25.29
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 48.9% below Wall St target ($34.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.00
Wall Street Target
$34.00
(+48.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-13.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-32.3%
Profit Margin
8.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 8.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.31
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$21.80
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$21.30
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$22.88
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -92.7%)
$55.11
(+141%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: -92.7%)
$22.21
(-3%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: -92.7%)
$18.88
(-17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.78
Bull Case
$26.08
(+14%)
Analyst growth 2.6%, PE expands to 9.1
Base Case
$23.71
(+4%)
Market implied 2.6%, PE stable at 8.3
Bear Case
$15.71
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.0 to 8.6
Stabilization Target:
$24.54
(+7.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.4%
Share FOR Analysis
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (FOR)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 3, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish trader on StockTwits identifies a monthly AVWAP (Average Volume Weighted Ask Price) breakthrough for $FOR, signaling a potential run towards the resistance level of 37.21.
Key Retail Themes:
Technical Analysis
Price Movement
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FOR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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