FOR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FOR - Forestar Group Inc.
$30.11
-0.40 (-1.31%)
▼
5d:
-0.95%
30d:
+6.32%
90d:
+15.9%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 21, 2026
7d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FOR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FOR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.88
Based on 6.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.66
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FOR is currently trading at $30.11, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.62 to $31.00. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.5) compared to its historical average (8.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOR is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $29.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.00 (+12.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOR is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $29.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.00 (+12.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$28.62 -
$31.00
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
69.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($34.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 4.7% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.62 -
$31.00
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.51
Resistance Level
$29.30
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.47
Wall Street Target
$34.00
(+12.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
22.3%
Profit Margin
9.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.7% premium
PE vs Historical
9.5 vs 8.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.53
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$33.01
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$34.56
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.93
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.0%)
$87.35
(+190%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: 8.0%)
$37.97
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 8.0%)
$32.28
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.28
Bull Case
$32.27
(+6%)
Analyst growth -3.0%, PE expands to 10.2
Base Case
$29.34
(-4%)
Market implied -3.0%, PE stable at 9.2
Bear Case
$20.58
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FOR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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