FOR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FOR - Forestar Group Inc.
$29.02
-0.29 (-0.99%)
▼
5d:
-0.62%
30d:
+11.49%
90d:
+19.47%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 21, 2026
27d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FOR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FOR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.45
Based on 6.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FOR is currently trading at $29.02, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.36 to $28.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.1) compared to its historical average (8.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOR is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $29.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FOR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.00 (+17.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOR is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $29.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FOR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.00 (+17.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$26.36 -
$28.87
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($34.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.36 -
$28.87
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.51
Resistance Level
$29.30
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.13
Wall Street Target
$34.00
(+17.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
22.3%
Profit Margin
9.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.1% premium
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 8.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.21
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$31.45
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$32.74
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.06
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.0%)
$87.35
(+201%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 8.0%)
$36.60
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: 8.0%)
$31.11
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.28
Bull Case
$31.26
(+8%)
Analyst growth -3.0%, PE expands to 9.8
Base Case
$28.42
(-2%)
Market implied -3.0%, PE stable at 8.9
Bear Case
$19.93
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 8:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FOR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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