Forestar Group (FOR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FOR - Forestar Group Inc.
$25.75
-0.28 (-1.08%)
▼
5d:
-2.79%
30d:
-5.3%
90d:
-15.3%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FOR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FOR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.26
Based on -44.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FOR is currently trading at $25.75, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.09 to $27.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.0) is in line with its historical norms (8.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $25.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.00 (+32.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $25.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.00 (+32.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$26.09 -
$27.97
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.0% below Wall St target ($34.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.09 -
$27.97
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.20
Resistance Level
$27.27
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.02
Wall Street Target
$34.00
(+32.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.4%
Profit Margin
9.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
9.0 vs 8.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.21
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$26.69
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$27.17
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.89
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -92.7%)
$56.60
(+120%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: -92.7%)
$25.04
(-3%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: -92.7%)
$21.28
(-17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.37
Bull Case
$24.24
(-6%)
Analyst growth -15.3%, PE expands to 8.5
Base Case
$22.04
(-14%)
Market implied -15.3%, PE stable at 7.7
Bear Case
$17.70
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 7:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:22 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FOR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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