Forestar Group (FOR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FOR - Forestar Group Inc.
$26.09
-0.13 (-0.50%)
▼
5d:
+1.64%
30d:
-2.28%
90d:
-9.69%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FOR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FOR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.26
Based on -44.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FOR is currently trading at $26.09, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.39 to $26.56. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.2) is in line with its historical norms (8.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.23. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FOR scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.00 (+29.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.23. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FOR scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.00 (+29.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$25.39 -
$26.56
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (72/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.7% below Wall St target ($34.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 72/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.39 -
$26.56
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.55
Resistance Level
$26.23
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.19
Wall Street Target
$34.00
(+29.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.4%
Profit Margin
9.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
9.2 vs 8.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.82
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$27.44
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$28.07
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.27
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -92.7%)
$55.11
(+110%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: -92.7%)
$25.50
(-3%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: -92.7%)
$21.67
(-17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.28
Bull Case
$24.13
(-8%)
Analyst growth -13.0%, PE expands to 8.5
Base Case
$21.94
(-16%)
Market implied -13.0%, PE stable at 7.7
Bear Case
$17.15
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 4:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FOR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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