Forestar Group (FOR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FOR - Forestar Group Inc.
$26.85
0.33 (1.24%)
▲
5d:
-3.0%
30d:
-8.02%
90d:
-6.74%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FOR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FOR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.95
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FOR is currently trading at $26.85, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.61 to $29.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.9) is in line with its historical norms (8.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FOR scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.00 (+26.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FOR scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.00 (+26.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$27.61 -
$29.45
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (22/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.6% below Wall St target ($34.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.61 -
$29.45
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.21
Resistance Level
$29.04
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.95
Wall Street Target
$34.00
(+26.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
22.3%
Profit Margin
9.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
9.0 vs 8.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.31
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$27.77
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$28.24
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.82
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 3.9%)
$67.92
(+153%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: 3.9%)
$30.14
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: 3.9%)
$25.62
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.33
Bull Case
$26.28
(-2%)
Analyst growth -9.9%, PE expands to 8.8
Base Case
$23.89
(-11%)
Market implied -9.9%, PE stable at 8.0
Bear Case
$18.03
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 2:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FOR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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