FSUN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSUN - FirstSun Capital Bancorp Common Stock
$37.05
1.03 (2.86%)
▲
5d:
+2.12%
30d:
+3.0%
90d:
+1.84%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FSUN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FSUN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$75.21
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.70
20.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSUN is currently trading at $37.05, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.14 to $36.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.9) is in line with its historical norms (8.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSUN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $36.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FSUN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.50 (+17.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSUN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $36.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FSUN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.50 (+17.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$35.14 -
$36.43
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($43.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$35.14 -
$36.43
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.26
Resistance Level
$36.95
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.87
Wall Street Target
$43.50
(+17.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.4%
Profit Margin
23.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 8.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.53
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$36.02
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$35.52
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$37.02
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 31.0%)
$230.70
(+523%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 31.0%)
$83.32
(+125%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 31.0%)
$70.82
(+91%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.40
Bull Case
$54.89
(+48%)
Analyst growth 38.5%, PE expands to 11.7
Base Case
$49.90
(+35%)
Market implied 38.5%, PE stable at 10.6
Bear Case
$24.49
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.9 to 8.2
Stabilization Target:
$38.62
(+4.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 7:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FSUN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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