FSUN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSUN - FirstSun Capital Bancorp Common Stock
$35.48
0.40 (1.14%)
▲
5d:
-8.44%
30d:
-2.47%
90d:
-5.79%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FSUN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FSUN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$72.94
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.29
21.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSUN is currently trading at $35.48, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.82 to $38.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.8) is in line with its historical norms (8.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSUN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $34.26, while resistance sits at $36.95.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.50 (+25.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSUN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $34.26, while resistance sits at $36.95.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.50 (+25.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$35.82 -
$38.43
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.4% below Wall St target ($44.50)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.4% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$35.82 -
$38.43
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.26
Resistance Level
$36.95
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.77
Wall Street Target
$44.50
(+25.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.4%
Profit Margin
23.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.8 vs 8.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.84
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$34.21
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$33.60
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$35.47
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 37.8%)
$260.21
(+633%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: 37.8%)
$92.80
(+162%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.6, Growth: 37.8%)
$78.88
(+122%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.40
Bull Case
$51.84
(+46%)
Analyst growth 34.3%, PE expands to 11.4
Base Case
$47.13
(+33%)
Market implied 34.3%, PE stable at 10.3
Bear Case
$23.85
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.8 to 8.2
Stabilization Target:
$37.45
(+5.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 3:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FSUN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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