FirstSun Capital Bancorp (FSUN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSUN - FirstSun Capital Bancorp Common Stock
$39.53
1.05 (2.73%)
▲
5d:
+3.89%
30d:
+3.02%
90d:
+14.61%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FSUN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FSUN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$74.45
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.23
14.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSUN is currently trading at $39.53, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.24 to $39.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.5) is in line with its historical norms (8.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSUN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FSUN scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.75 (+15.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSUN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FSUN scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.75 (+15.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$38.24 -
$39.58
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (73/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($45.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.0% growth with 42.2% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 73/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.24 -
$39.58
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.42
Resistance Level
$39.64
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.48
Wall Street Target
$45.75
(+15.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
42.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.4%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
8.5 vs 8.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.93
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$40.32
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$40.73
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$39.39
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 40.8%)
$258.22
(+553%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: 40.8%)
$110.23
(+179%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: 40.8%)
$93.70
(+137%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.67
Bull Case
$85.81
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 25.7
Base Case
$78.01
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 23.4
Bear Case
$26.52
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 8:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FSUN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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