FirstSun Capital Bancorp (FSUN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSUN - FirstSun Capital Bancorp Common Stock
$40.16
0.03 (0.07%)
â˛
5d:
-1.18%
30d:
-1.38%
90d:
+9.16%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FSUN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FSUN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$75.09
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.63
13.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSUN is currently trading at $40.16, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.81 to $40.70. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.5) is in line with its historical norms (8.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSUN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FSUN scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.75 (+13.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSUN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FSUN scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.75 (+13.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$39.81 -
$40.70
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (39/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($45.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.3% growth with 42.2% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.81 -
$40.70
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.21
Resistance Level
$41.11
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.54
Wall Street Target
$45.75
(+13.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
42.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.4%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
8.5 vs 8.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.68
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$41.21
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$41.75
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9â8)
PE COMPRESSION
$40.08
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 41.7%)
$270.14
(+573%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: 41.7%)
$114.38
(+185%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 41.7%)
$97.22
(+142%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.67
Bull Case
$88.29
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 26.4
Base Case
$80.26
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 24.0
Bear Case
$27.29
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 4:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FSUN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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