FirstSun Capital Bancorp (FSUN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSUN - FirstSun Capital Bancorp Common Stock
$39.52
0.72 (1.86%)
▲
5d:
-0.55%
30d:
-1.62%
90d:
+1.99%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FSUN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FSUN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$75.05
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.60
15.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSUN is currently trading at $39.52, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.07 to $40.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.4) is in line with its historical norms (8.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSUN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FSUN scores 67/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.75 (+15.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSUN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FSUN scores 67/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.75 (+15.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$39.07 -
$40.36
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (67/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($45.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.7% growth with 42.2% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 17% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.07 -
$40.36
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.71
Resistance Level
$39.98
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.41
Wall Street Target
$45.75
(+15.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
42.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.4%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 8.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.80
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$40.08
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$40.36
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$39.36
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 41.9%)
$273.88
(+593%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: 41.9%)
$112.89
(+186%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: 41.9%)
$95.95
(+143%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.67
Bull Case
$85.36
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 25.6
Base Case
$77.60
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 23.2
Bear Case
$26.38
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 7:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FSUN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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