FSUN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSUN - FirstSun Capital Bancorp Common Stock
$39.25
0.57 (1.47%)
▲
5d:
+12.75%
30d:
+0.69%
90d:
+9.24%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FSUN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FSUN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$74.33
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.15
15.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSUN is currently trading at $39.25, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.07 to $38.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.4) is in line with its historical norms (8.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSUN is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $33.12, while resistance sits at $40.61.
Market Sentiment: FSUN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.75 (+14.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSUN is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $33.12, while resistance sits at $40.61.
Market Sentiment: FSUN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.75 (+14.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$35.07 -
$38.99
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($44.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.0% growth with 42.2% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$35.07 -
$38.99
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.12
Resistance Level
$40.61
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.43
Wall Street Target
$44.75
(+14.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
42.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.4%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 8.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.64
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$40.04
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$40.44
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$39.33
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 38.5%)
$256.60
(+554%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: 38.5%)
$104.37
(+166%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: 38.5%)
$88.72
(+126%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.67
Bull Case
$85.10
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 25.5
Base Case
$77.36
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 23.2
Bear Case
$26.30
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 10:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FSUN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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