FSV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSV - FirstService Corporation Common Shares
$144.49
1.04 (0.72%)
▲
5d:
+2.61%
30d:
+10.18%
90d:
+8.53%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FSV shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FSV shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$204.75
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$127.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSV is currently trading at $144.49, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $139.28 to $146.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.6) is in line with its historical norms (22.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSV is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $146.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FSV scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $173.88 (+20.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSV is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $146.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FSV scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $173.88 (+20.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$139.28 -
$146.43
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.3% below Wall St target ($173.88)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 70/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$139.28 -
$146.43
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$137.80
Resistance Level
$146.67
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.55
Wall Street Target
$173.88
(+20.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.1%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.6 vs 22.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$143.19
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$141.90
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$140.62
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→22)
$144.20
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.6, Growth: 9.4%)
$189.38
(+31%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 9.4%)
$176.35
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 9.4%)
$149.90
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.53
Bull Case
$299.69
(+107%)
Analyst growth 89.9%, PE expands to 44.7
Base Case
$272.44
(+89%)
Market implied 89.9%, PE stable at 40.6
Bear Case
$97.55
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.6 to 22.1
Stabilization Target:
$148.16
(+2.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 9:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is FSV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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