FSV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSV - FirstService Corporation Common Shares
$137.78
1.77 (1.30%)
▲
5d:
-3.59%
30d:
-2.98%
90d:
-2.6%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FSV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FSV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$204.75
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$127.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSV is currently trading at $137.78, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $139.15 to $144.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.6) is in line with its historical norms (22.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSV is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $134.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FSV scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $173.88 (+26.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSV is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $134.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FSV scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $173.88 (+26.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$139.15 -
$144.21
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (29/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.2% below Wall St target ($173.88)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$139.15 -
$144.21
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$134.62
Resistance Level
$144.66
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.55
Wall Street Target
$173.88
(+26.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.1%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.6 vs 22.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$134.61
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$131.52
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$128.49
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→22)
$138.17
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 9.4%)
$180.58
(+31%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 9.4%)
$177.23
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 9.4%)
$150.65
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.48
Bull Case
$288.22
(+109%)
Analyst growth 92.6%, PE expands to 43.0
Base Case
$262.02
(+90%)
Market implied 92.6%, PE stable at 39.1
Bear Case
$92.49
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.6 to 22.1
Stabilization Target:
$148.16
(+7.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 12:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:51 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is FSV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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