FSV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSV - FirstService Corporation Common Shares
$140.89
-3.68 (-2.55%)
▼
5d:
+2.5%
30d:
-1.52%
90d:
+5.29%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FSV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FSV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$203.87
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$126.58
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSV is currently trading at $140.89, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $138.94 to $146.66. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.1) is in line with its historical norms (22.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSV is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $122.80, while resistance sits at $148.95.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $173.88 (+23.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSV is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $122.80, while resistance sits at $148.95.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $173.88 (+23.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$138.94 -
$146.66
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.4% below Wall St target ($173.88)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$138.94 -
$146.66
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$122.80
Resistance Level
$148.95
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.10
Wall Street Target
$173.88
(+23.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.1%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.1 vs 22.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$138.49
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$136.14
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$133.83
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→22)
$140.78
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.1, Growth: 9.2%)
$183.52
(+30%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 9.2%)
$180.27
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 9.2%)
$153.23
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.53
Bull Case
$300.76
(+114%)
Analyst growth 89.1%, PE expands to 45.1
Base Case
$273.42
(+94%)
Market implied 89.1%, PE stable at 41.0
Bear Case
$98.31
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.1 to 22.2
Stabilization Target:
$148.21
(+5.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 1:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FSV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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