FSV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSV - FirstService Corporation Common Shares
$142.49
-4.73 (-3.21%)
▼
5d:
+5.03%
30d:
+12.17%
90d:
+1.61%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FSV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FSV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$200.15
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$124.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSV is currently trading at $142.49, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $127.36 to $136.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.0) is in line with its historical norms (21.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $128.03, while resistance sits at $147.65. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: FSV scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $173.25 (+17.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $128.03, while resistance sits at $147.65. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: FSV scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $173.25 (+17.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$127.36 -
$136.51
Company Quality Score
35/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($173.25)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with 2.4% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$127.36 -
$136.51
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$128.03
Resistance Level
$147.65
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.01
Wall Street Target
$173.25
(+17.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.1%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
22.0 vs 21.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$147.81
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$148.40
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$148.99
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$146.92
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 9.3%)
$192.10
(+31%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.3%)
$173.36
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 9.3%)
$147.36
(+0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.52
Bull Case
$285.55
(+94%)
Analyst growth 90.1%, PE expands to 42.7
Base Case
$259.59
(+76%)
Market implied 90.1%, PE stable at 38.8
Bear Case
$92.88
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 1:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FSV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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