FSV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSV - FirstService Corporation Common Shares
$132.07
1.51 (1.16%)
▲
5d:
-8.1%
30d:
-0.8%
90d:
-3.96%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FSV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FSV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$212.64
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$132.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSV is currently trading at $132.06, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $131.76 to $141.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.4) compared to its historical average (22.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 626.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $132.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FSV has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $190.38 (+45.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $132.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FSV has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $190.38 (+45.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$131.76 -
$141.29
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 45.8% below Wall St target ($190.38)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-8.1%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$131.76 -
$141.29
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$132.19
Resistance Level
$144.27
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.36
Wall Street Target
$190.38
(+45.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
626.4%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.4 vs 22.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$124.28
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$118.32
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$112.64
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→23)
$130.94
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.0%)
$195.59
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.4, Growth: 10.0%)
$173.82
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.5, Growth: 10.0%)
$147.74
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.56
Bull Case
$286.14
(+119%)
Analyst growth 89.5%, PE expands to 42.4
Base Case
$260.13
(+99%)
Market implied 89.5%, PE stable at 38.6
Bear Case
$93.36
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.4 to 22.5
Stabilization Target:
$151.76
(+16.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FSV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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