FSV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSV - FirstService Corporation Common Shares
$143.28
-0.16 (-0.11%)
▼
5d:
-0.94%
30d:
+0.24%
90d:
-1.8%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FSV shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FSV shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$210.11
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$130.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSV is currently trading at $143.28, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $137.10 to $144.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.3) is in line with its historical norms (22.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 626.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSV is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $144.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FSV has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $188.50 (+31.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSV is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $144.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FSV has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $188.50 (+31.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$137.10 -
$144.50
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.4% below Wall St target ($188.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$137.10 -
$144.50
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$132.19
Resistance Level
$144.27
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.28
Wall Street Target
$188.50
(+31.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
626.4%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.3 vs 22.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$141.14
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$138.89
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$136.66
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→22)
$143.20
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.9%)
$194.91
(+36%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.3, Growth: 9.9%)
$190.46
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.1, Growth: 9.9%)
$161.89
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.55
Bull Case
$297.74
(+108%)
Analyst growth 89.9%, PE expands to 44.2
Base Case
$270.67
(+89%)
Market implied 89.9%, PE stable at 40.2
Bear Case
$96.95
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.3 to 22.3
Stabilization Target:
$150.30
(+4.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 4:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FSV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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