BEKE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BEKE - KE Holdings Inc. American Depositary Shares (each representing three Class A Ordinary Shares)
$17.09
-0.15 (-0.87%)
âŧ
5d:
-5.42%
30d:
+2.4%
90d:
+4.27%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 09, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BEKE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.5% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BEKE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.5% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.36
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.61
2.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BEKE is currently trading at $17.09, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.34 to $17.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.0) compared to its historical average (2.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 111.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEKE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.99 (+39.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEKE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.99 (+39.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$16.34 -
$17.57
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.1% below Wall St target ($23.99)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.34 -
$17.57
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.05
Resistance Level
$18.31
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.04
Wall Street Target
$23.99
(+39.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
111.4%
Profit Margin
5.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.0 vs 2.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.46
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$15.72
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$15.02
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2â2)
$16.95
(-2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.7%)
$234.55
(+1261%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.0, Growth: 11.7%)
$24.06
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.7, Growth: 11.7%)
$20.45
(+19%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.60
Bull Case
$38.17
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 31.8
Base Case
$34.70
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 28.9
Bear Case
$11.80
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.0 to 2.3
Stabilization Target:
$19.47
(+12.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BEKE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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