BEKE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BEKE - KE Holdings Inc. American Depositary Shares (each representing three Class A Ordinary Shares)
$16.10
0.03 (0.19%)
▲
5d:
+8.34%
30d:
-1.83%
90d:
+1.83%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BEKE appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.1% annual earnings decline despite 54% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BEKE appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.1% annual earnings decline despite 54% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.23
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.15
11.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BEKE is currently trading at $16.10, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.71 to $16.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.1) compared to its historical average (2.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 54.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEKE is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BEKE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.79 (+41.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEKE is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BEKE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.79 (+41.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$14.71 -
$16.15
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.6% below Wall St target ($22.79)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.71 -
$16.15
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.38
Resistance Level
$16.35
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.11
Wall Street Target
$22.79
(+41.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-19.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
54.2%
Profit Margin
3.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.1 vs 2.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.28
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$14.50
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$13.76
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→3)
$16.32
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.9%)
$245.62
(+1426%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.1, Growth: 13.9%)
$23.78
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.8, Growth: 13.9%)
$20.21
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.44
Bull Case
$34.25
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.9
Base Case
$31.14
(+94%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 35.4
Bear Case
$10.59
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.1 to 2.5
Stabilization Target:
$19.09
(+18.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 5:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BEKE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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