BEKE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BEKE - KE Holdings Inc. American Depositary Shares (each representing three Class A Ordinary Shares)
$16.93
0.24 (1.44%)
â˛
5d:
-5.47%
30d:
-2.81%
90d:
+3.23%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 21, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BEKE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.5% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BEKE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.5% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.90
Based on 7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.95
5.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BEKE is currently trading at $16.93, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.91 to $17.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.0) compared to its historical average (2.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 111.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEKE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BEKE scores 19/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.70 (+40.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEKE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BEKE scores 19/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.70 (+40.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$16.91 -
$17.80
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (19/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.0% below Wall St target ($23.70)
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.91 -
$17.80
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.65
Resistance Level
$18.90
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.02
Wall Street Target
$23.70
(+40.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
111.5%
Profit Margin
5.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.0 vs 2.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.00
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$15.12
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$14.29
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2â2)
$17.01
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 11.0%)
$231.46
(+1267%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.0, Growth: 11.0%)
$23.13
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.7, Growth: 11.0%)
$19.66
(+16%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.62
Bull Case
$36.72
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 29.6
Base Case
$33.38
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 26.9
Bear Case
$11.35
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.0 to 2.4
Stabilization Target:
$20.16
(+19.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 9:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BEKE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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