GDEV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GDEV - GDEV Inc. Ordinary Shares
$13.36
-0.05 (-0.35%)
▼
5d:
+3.99%
30d:
-23.29%
90d:
-11.8%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 15, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GDEV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GDEV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.30
Based on 11.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.26
49.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GDEV is currently trading at $13.36, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.62 to $16.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.6) compared to its historical average (4.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 18.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 67.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GDEV is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $11.80, while resistance sits at $15.41.
Market Sentiment: GDEV has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.00 (+423.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GDEV is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $11.80, while resistance sits at $15.41.
Market Sentiment: GDEV has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.00 (+423.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$13.62 -
$16.68
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 423.8% below Wall St target ($70.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.62 -
$16.68
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.80
Resistance Level
$15.42
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.56
Wall Street Target
$70.00
(+423.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
67.1%
Profit Margin
17.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-18.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.6 vs 4.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-18.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.03
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$10.82
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$9.74
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→5)
$18.23
(+36%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 18.4%)
$189.60
(+1319%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.6, Growth: 18.4%)
$22.18
(+66%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.2, Growth: 18.4%)
$18.86
(+41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (4x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (3x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 3.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.77
Bull Case
$20.39
(+53%)
Analyst growth 38.2%, PE expands to 3.9
Base Case
$18.53
(+39%)
Market implied 38.2%, PE stable at 3.6
Bear Case
$9.12
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.6 to 4.8
Stabilization Target:
$25.01
(+87.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+87.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 11, 2026 2:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GDEV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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