TTWO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TTWO - Take-Two Interactive Software Inc

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$203.69
-4.12 (-1.98%) â–ŧ
5d: -0.77%
30d: +0.35%
90d: -16.5%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 09, 2026 15d
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 8, 2026 at $209.37 · last confirmed Oct 22, 2026

Strength: 7.4/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: TTWO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -11.5% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$131.89
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$81.89
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TTWO is currently trading at $203.69, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $201.91 to $211.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 54.1) compared to its historical average (77.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TTWO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $196.30, while resistance sits at $214.68.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $286.44 (+40.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $201.91 - $211.09
Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 40.6% below Wall St target ($286.44)
  • WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $201.91 - $211.09
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $196.30
Resistance Level $214.68
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 23, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 54.10
Wall Street Target $286.44 (+40.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -49.7%
Profit Margin -4.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -11.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 54.1 vs 77.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -11.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $183.32 (-10%)
2-Year Target $164.99 (-19%)
3-Year Target $148.49 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 54→78) $213.82 (+5%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 54.1 to 77.9
Stabilization Target: $293.31 (+44.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +44.0%
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Last updated: October 24, 2026 9:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:11 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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NEUTRAL

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Advanced TTWO Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TTWO price and gamma walls.

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