GDEV Inc. Ordinary Shares (GDEV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GDEV - GDEV Inc. Ordinary Shares
$10.15
-0.22 (-2.12%)
▼
5d:
-7.98%
30d:
-11.43%
90d:
-17.41%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GDEV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GDEV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.65
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.79
43.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GDEV is currently trading at $10.15, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.69 to $11.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.0) compared to its historical average (3.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GDEV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.00 (+575.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GDEV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.00 (+575.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.69 -
$11.61
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 575.0% below Wall St target ($70.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.69 -
$11.61
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.14
Resistance Level
$11.80
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.99
Wall Street Target
$70.00
(+575.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-22.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.0%
Profit Margin
19.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-17.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.0 vs 3.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-17.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.33
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$8.40
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$7.56
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→4)
$13.67
(+32%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.8%)
$152.31
(+1369%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.0, Growth: 13.8%)
$15.26
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.7, Growth: 13.8%)
$12.98
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (3x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 2.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.11
Bull Case
$15.00
(+45%)
Analyst growth 26.8%, PE expands to 2.9
Base Case
$13.64
(+32%)
Market implied 26.8%, PE stable at 2.6
Bear Case
$7.32
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 2.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.0 to 3.6
Stabilization Target:
$18.76
(+80.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+80.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 4:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GDEV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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