GDEV Inc. Ordinary Shares (GDEV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GDEV - GDEV Inc. Ordinary Shares
$10.98
-0.96 (-8.03%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.25%
30d:
-10.87%
90d:
-23.8%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 01, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GDEV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -17.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GDEV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -17.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.25
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.78
41.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GDEV is currently trading at $10.98, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.92 to $12.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.1) compared to its historical average (3.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GDEV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.48, while resistance sits at $12.00. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: GDEV scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.00 (+537.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GDEV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.48, while resistance sits at $12.00. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: GDEV scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.00 (+537.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$10.92 -
$12.49
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 537.5% below Wall St target ($70.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.92 -
$12.49
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.48
Resistance Level
$12.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.11
Wall Street Target
$70.00
(+537.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-22.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.0%
Profit Margin
19.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-17.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.1 vs 3.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-17.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.88
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$8.89
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$8.01
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2â4)
$14.43
(+31%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 13.8%)
$154.69
(+1309%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.1, Growth: 13.8%)
$16.16
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.8, Growth: 13.8%)
$13.74
(+25%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (3x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 2.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.17
Bull Case
$16.41
(+49%)
Analyst growth 24.9%, PE expands to 3.2
Base Case
$14.92
(+36%)
Market implied 24.9%, PE stable at 2.9
Bear Case
$8.12
(-26%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 2.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.1 to 3.8
Stabilization Target:
$19.80
(+80.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+80.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 7:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:49 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GDEV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL
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