GDEV
GDEV Inc. Ordinary Shares
Services-Computer Programming Services
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GDEV Inc. Ordinary Shares (GDEV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$9.54
+1.03 (+12.10%)
▲
5d:
+9.03%
30d:
-14.75%
90d:
-23.68%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (84%)
Quality Score
54/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$9.25 – $11.29
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
1.8x
CHEAP
vs 3.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$70.00
+633.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$8.50 / $11.13
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: GDEV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.86
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.30
44.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GDEV is currently trading at $9.54, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.25 to $11.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.8) compared to its historical average (3.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 19.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GDEV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.50, while resistance sits at $11.13. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 12.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.00 (+633.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GDEV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.50, while resistance sits at $11.13. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 12.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.00 (+633.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$9.25 -
$11.29
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$9.25 -
$11.29
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$8.50
Resistance Level
$11.13
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+12.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 633.8% below Wall St target ($70.00)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (40/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.83
Wall Street Target
$70.00
(+633.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-22.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.0%
Profit Margin
19.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-19.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.8 vs 3.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-19.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.59
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$7.73
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$6.95
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→4)
$13.29
(+39%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.8%)
$152.31
(+1497%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.8, Growth: 13.8%)
$14.04
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.6, Growth: 13.8%)
$11.94
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (2x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 1.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.46
Bull Case
$10.94
(+15%)
Analyst growth 16.8%, PE expands to 2.1
Base Case
$9.94
(+4%)
Market implied 16.8%, PE stable at 1.9
Bear Case
$5.79
(-39%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 1.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.8 to 3.5
Stabilization Target:
$18.24
(+91.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+91.1%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (GDEV)
Neutral
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Dec 28, 2025
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits message expresses love for Cyprus-related stocks, including $GDEV, with no recent news articles available.
Key Retail Themes:
Cyprus stocks
Bullish sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
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Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GDEV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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