GDEV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GDEV - GDEV Inc. Ordinary Shares
$12.30
0.01 (0.08%)
▲
5d:
-8.75%
30d:
-8.28%
90d:
-12.08%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 01, 2026
Get Alerted When GDEV Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GDEV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GDEV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.89
Based on 11.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.53
47.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GDEV is currently trading at $12.30, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.14 to $12.98. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.4) compared to its historical average (4.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 18.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 67.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GDEV is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $11.80, while resistance sits at $15.41.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.00 (+469.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GDEV is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $11.80, while resistance sits at $15.41.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.00 (+469.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$12.14 -
$12.98
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 469.1% below Wall St target ($70.00)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.8% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.14 -
$12.98
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.80
Resistance Level
$15.42
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.36
Wall Street Target
$70.00
(+469.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
67.1%
Profit Margin
17.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-18.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.4 vs 4.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-18.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.07
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$9.96
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$8.97
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→4)
$16.33
(+33%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 18.4%)
$188.39
(+1432%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.4, Growth: 18.4%)
$20.42
(+66%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.0, Growth: 18.4%)
$17.36
(+41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (3x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 3.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.77
Bull Case
$18.68
(+52%)
Analyst growth 38.2%, PE expands to 3.6
Base Case
$16.98
(+38%)
Market implied 38.2%, PE stable at 3.3
Bear Case
$8.36
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 2.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.4 to 4.3
Stabilization Target:
$22.40
(+82.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+82.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GDEV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Electronic Gaming & Multimedia Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Electronic Gaming & Multimedia by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NTES
NetEase Inc |
STRONG BUY
31 analysts |
$162 | 62 BUY |
|
TTWO
Take-Two Interactive Sof… |
STRONG BUY
29 analysts |
$284 | 64 BUY |
|
RBLX
Roblox Corp |
BUY
35 analysts |
$66 | 63 BUY |
|
EA
Electronic Arts Inc |
HOLD
28 analysts |
$206 | 63 BUY |
|
PLTK
Playtika Holding Corp |
HOLD
13 analysts |
$5 | 64 BUY |
