HLN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLN - Haleon plc American Depositary Shares (Each representing two Ordinary Shares)
$10.16
0.16 (1.60%)
▲
5d:
+6.05%
30d:
+3.89%
90d:
+9.36%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HLN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HLN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.33
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.90
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLN is currently trading at $10.16, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.76 to $10.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.1) is in line with its historical norms (16.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HLN scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.99 (+19.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HLN scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.99 (+19.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$9.76 -
$10.09
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($11.99)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.76 -
$10.09
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.57
Resistance Level
$10.03
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.05
Wall Street Target
$11.99
(+19.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.5%
Profit Margin
14.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.1 vs 16.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.89
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$9.78
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$9.67
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$10.01
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 9.5%)
$16.40
(+64%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.0, Growth: 9.5%)
$13.11
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.6, Growth: 9.5%)
$11.14
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.49
Bull Case
$13.81
(+38%)
Analyst growth 27.2%, PE expands to 22.2
Base Case
$12.55
(+26%)
Market implied 27.2%, PE stable at 20.1
Bear Case
$6.71
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.0 to 16.6
Stabilization Target:
$10.34
(+3.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 12:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:56 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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