United Therapeutics (UTHR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

UTHR - United Therapeutics Corp

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$584.79
21.30 (3.78%) ▲
5d: +7.99%
30d: +19.49%
90d: +10.66%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026 11d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: UTHR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$941.15
Based on 11.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$584.38
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: UTHR is currently trading at $584.79, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $493.61 to $554.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.4) is in line with its historical norms (17.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, UTHR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $590.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.

Market Sentiment: UTHR scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (2th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $662.07 (+13.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $493.61 - $554.78
Company Quality Score 33/100 (SELL)
Options IV Signal 2th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 41.2%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.4% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 2th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.8%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($662.07)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $493.61 - $554.78
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$29.06 (5.0%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $523.95
Resistance Level $590.79
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.43
Wall Street Target $662.07 (+13.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -1.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 13.4%
Profit Margin 41.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.3% premium
PE vs Historical 18.4 vs 17.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $598.24 (+2%)
2-Year Target $612.00 (+5%)
3-Year Target $626.08 (+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→17) PE COMPRESSION $584.18 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 19.3%) $1069.38 (+83%)
Base: (SPY PE: 18.4, Growth: 19.3%) $992.57 (+70%)
Bear: (PE: 15.7, Growth: 19.3%) $843.68 (+44%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $27.92
Bull Case $704.30 (+20%)
Analyst growth 13.6%, PE expands to 22.2
Base Case $640.27 (+10%)
Market implied 13.6%, PE stable at 20.2
Bear Case $383.17 (-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 23, 2026 4:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:53 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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Advanced UTHR Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's UTHR price and gamma walls.

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