Liquidia (LQDA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LQDA - Liquidia Corporation Common Stock

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$27.99
-2.27 (-7.50%) β–Ό
5d: -60.55%
30d: -58.17%
90d: -64.54%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Protect Your LQDA Gains
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026 30d
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 29, 2026 at $69.12 · last confirmed Oct 1, 2026

Strength: 7.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: LQDA is down 60.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$132.03
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$81.98
65.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LQDA is currently trading at $27.99, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $55.47 to $76.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.0) compared to its historical average (12.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 25.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LQDA is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $22.31, while resistance sits at $74.74. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: LQDA scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $107.75 (+285.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $55.47 - $76.14
Company Quality Score 41/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 52.4%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.5%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 285.0% below Wall St target ($107.75)
  • WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $55.47 - $76.14
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $22.31
Resistance Level $74.74
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Oct 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 4.95
Wall Street Target $107.75 (+285.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1842.7%
Profit Margin 30.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -25.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 5.0 vs 12.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -25.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $25.19 (-10%)
2-Year Target $22.67 (-19%)
3-Year Target $20.40 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 5β†’12) $49.43 (+77%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 75.5%) $389.00 (+1290%)
Base: (SPY PE: 5.0, Growth: 75.5%) $94.47 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 4.2, Growth: 75.5%) $80.30 (+187%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.28
Bull Case $57.34 (+105%)
Analyst growth 72.3%, PE expands to 10.2
Base Case $52.12 (+86%)
Market implied 72.3%, PE stable at 9.2
Bear Case $20.58 (-27%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.0 to 12.0
Stabilization Target: $67.80 (+142.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +142.2%
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Last updated: October 01, 2026 8:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:36 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
17
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Roger Jeffs SELL 18839 shares 2026-04-17
Michael Kaseta SELL 139390 shares 2026-04-15
Roger Jeffs SELL 25000 shares 2026-04-15

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