HSIC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HSIC - Henry Schein Inc
$86.91
1.12 (1.31%)
▲
5d:
+0.08%
30d:
+8.34%
90d:
+14.37%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HSIC is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: HSIC is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$113.88
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$70.71
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HSIC is currently trading at $86.91, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.63 to $85.34. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.7) is in line with its historical norms (13.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSIC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $80.83. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSIC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $80.83. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$79.63 -
$85.34
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HSIC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($88.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$79.63 -
$85.34
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.38
Resistance Level
$80.83
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.71
Wall Street Target
$88.50
(+1.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.6% premium
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 13.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$89.17
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$91.49
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$93.87
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$86.77
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.5%)
$173.71
(+100%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 10.5%)
$117.34
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 10.5%)
$99.74
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.31
Bull Case
$165.70
(+91%)
Analyst growth 78.5%, PE expands to 28.1
Base Case
$150.63
(+73%)
Market implied 78.5%, PE stable at 25.5
Bear Case
$57.39
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 9:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HSIC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Thomas C Popeck
SELL
1355 shares
2026-03-19
Kurt P Kuehn
SELL
2844 shares
2026-03-10
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