CAH Cardinal Health, Inc. WHOLESALE-DRUGS, PROPRIETARIES & DRUGGISTS' SUNDRIES

Cardinal Health (CAH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$277.45
+0.66 (+0.24%) ▲
5d: +5.93% 30d: +15.74% 90d: +19.98%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (18%)
Quality Score
30/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$238.01 – $262.98
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
23.0x STRETCHED
vs 19.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$293.27
+5.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$246.99 / $286.29
Trend: Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CAH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 9, 2026 at $274.29 · last confirmed Nov 11, 2026

Strength: 7.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$384.36
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$238.66
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CAH is currently trading at $277.45, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $238.01 to $262.98. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.0) compared to its historical average (19.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CAH is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $246.99, while resistance sits at $286.29.

Market Sentiment: CAH scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $238.01 - $262.98
Company Quality Score 30/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 18.1%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $238.01 - $262.98
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $246.99
Resistance Level $286.29
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Protect Your Profits

CAH is technically overbought (RSI 77). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

View Profit Protection Plan

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.5% above its trading range)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($293.27)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.3% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Composite score 30/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 23.02
Wall Street Target $293.27 (+5.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 26.6%
Profit Margin 0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +6.3% premium
PE vs Historical 23.0 vs 19.1 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +6.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $294.93 (+6%)
2-Year Target $313.51 (+13%)
3-Year Target $333.26 (+20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23→19) PE COMPRESSION $276.56 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 23.0, Growth: 17.8%) $453.97 (+64%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 17.8%) $391.72 (+41%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 17.8%) $332.96 (+20%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.73
Bull Case $474.81 (+71%)
Analyst growth 55.9%, PE expands to 39.4
Base Case $431.65 (+56%)
Market implied 55.9%, PE stable at 35.8
Bear Case $188.22 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CAH)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Cardinal Health's Q1 revenue beat expectations, driving a new record high for the stock. Analysts raised price targets for Edwards Lifesciences following a strong Q3 report.
Key Retail Themes: Positive earnings reports Price target increases
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:11 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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