MCK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MCK - McKesson Corporation
$827.14
-29.05 (-3.39%)
▼
5d:
-2.7%
30d:
+5.19%
90d:
+1.61%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MCK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MCK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1293.40
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$803.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MCK is currently trading at $827.14, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $777.66 to $852.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.8) is in line with its historical norms (19.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 37.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MCK is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $808.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: MCK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $947.13 (+14.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MCK is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $808.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: MCK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $947.13 (+14.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$777.66 -
$852.36
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($947.13)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$777.66 -
$852.36
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$808.56
Resistance Level
$907.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.75
Wall Street Target
$947.13
(+14.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
37.2%
Profit Margin
1.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.8 vs 19.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$816.39
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$805.77
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$795.30
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→20)
$826.97
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 13.1%)
$1321.21
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 13.1%)
$1195.22
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.9, Growth: 13.1%)
$1015.94
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $38.36
Bull Case
$1082.90
(+31%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 24.6
Base Case
$984.45
(+19%)
Market implied 15.0%, PE stable at 22.3
Bear Case
$582.21
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.8 to 19.5
Stabilization Target:
$860.08
(+4.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 2:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MCK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Michele Lau
SELL
2725 shares
2026-03-02
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-24
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