McKesson (MCK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MCK - McKesson Corporation
$902.28
3.46 (0.38%)
▲
5d:
+4.11%
30d:
-2.43%
90d:
+15.05%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MCK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MCK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1300.03
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$807.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MCK is currently trading at $902.28, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $871.12 to $906.08. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.5) is in line with its historical norms (19.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MCK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $924.21. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MCK scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MCK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $924.21. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MCK scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$871.12 -
$906.08
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MCK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($979.36)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.5% growth with 7.7% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 16% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$871.12 -
$906.08
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$41.14
(4.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$847.29
Resistance Level
$924.21
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.46
Wall Street Target
$979.36
(+8.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-17.6%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
20.5 vs 19.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$915.81
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$929.55
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$943.49
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$903.98
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.5, Growth: 13.1%)
$1303.80
(+45%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 13.1%)
$1300.18
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 13.1%)
$1105.15
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $37.31
Bull Case
$1168.81
(+30%)
Analyst growth 18.2%, PE expands to 26.5
Base Case
$1062.55
(+18%)
Market implied 18.2%, PE stable at 24.1
Bear Case
$611.20
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 04, 2026 3:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MCK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MCK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MCK price and gamma walls.
