ILMN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ILMN - Illumina Inc
$198.16
-6.94 (-3.38%)
▼
5d:
+4.59%
30d:
+5.02%
90d:
+45.94%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ILMN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ILMN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$229.51
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$142.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ILMN is currently trading at $198.16, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $182.94 to $197.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 32.8) compared to its historical average (25.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ILMN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $178.88, while resistance sits at $207.00. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ILMN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $178.88, while resistance sits at $207.00. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$182.94 -
$197.17
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
44.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ILMN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($193.05)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.5% growth with 9.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$182.94 -
$197.17
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$178.88
Resistance Level
$207.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.75
Wall Street Target
$193.05
(-2.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.4%
Profit Margin
18.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.5% premium
PE vs Historical
32.8 vs 25.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$215.00
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$233.28
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$253.11
(+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$197.82
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.8, Growth: 13.5%)
$289.53
(+46%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 13.5%)
$183.24
(-8%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 13.5%)
$155.75
(-21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.35
Bull Case
$255.13
(+29%)
Analyst growth 13.1%, PE expands to 42.2
Base Case
$231.93
(+17%)
Market implied 13.1%, PE stable at 38.3
Bear Case
$139.47
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 2:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:30 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ILMN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Patricia Leckman
SELL
2370 shares
2026-02-18
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-02-10
Scott Gottlieb
BUY
200 shares
2026-02-09
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Advanced ILMN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ILMN price and gamma walls.
