Illumina (ILMN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ILMN - Illumina Inc

LABORATORY ANALYTICAL INSTRUMENTS
$206.45
5.18 (2.57%) ▲
5d: -6.86%
30d: +7.02%
90d: +24.21%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Protect Your ILMN Gains
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $218.22 · last confirmed Sep 8, 2026

Strength: 6.0/10

Get Alerted When ILMN Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading chart...

Loading historical data...

💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: ILMN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 8.1% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$233.44
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$144.95
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ILMN is currently trading at $206.45, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $193.81 to $218.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 33.9) compared to its historical average (26.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.1% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ILMN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $200.01, while resistance sits at $225.09.

Market Sentiment: ILMN scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $193.81 - $218.39
Company Quality Score 39/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 48.6%

Protect Your Profits

Holding ILMN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($199.63)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.1% growth with 9.4% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $193.81 - $218.39
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $200.01
Resistance Level $225.10
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 33.85
Wall Street Target $199.63 (-3.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -9.4%
Profit Margin 18.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +8.1% premium
PE vs Historical 33.9 vs 26.8 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +8.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $223.17 (+8%)
2-Year Target $241.25 (+17%)
3-Year Target $260.79 (+26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 34→27) PE COMPRESSION $206.46 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 33.9, Growth: 13.9%) $304.92 (+48%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 13.9%) $181.67 (-12%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 13.9%) $154.42 (-25%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (34x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.35
Bull Case $252.37 (+22%)
Analyst growth 14.0%, PE expands to 41.4
Base Case $229.43 (+11%)
Market implied 14.0%, PE stable at 37.6
Bear Case $136.86 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.
Last updated: September 13, 2026 4:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:07 PM
đŸ”Ĩ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for ILMN.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Top Rated Diagnostics & Research Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Diagnostics & Research by analyst ratings.

Stock Analyst Consensus Analyst Target Tradestie Score
TMO
Thermo Fisher Scientificâ€Ļ
STRONG BUY
31 analysts
$645 51 HOLD
EXAS
EXACT Sciences Corporatiâ€Ļ
STRONG BUY
26 analysts
$106 52 HOLD
DHR
Danaher Corporation
STRONG BUY
25 analysts
$229 49 HOLD
GH
Guardant Health Inc
STRONG BUY
23 analysts
$196 49 HOLD
NTRA
Natera Inc
STRONG BUY
21 analysts
$344 47 HOLD

Advanced ILMN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ILMN price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for ILMN

ILMN Technical Chart ILMN Price Prediction ILMN Earnings Date ILMN Investment Advisor ILMN Fair Price Analyzer ILMN Options Advisor ILMN Options Chain ILMN Options Analysis ILMN Competitors
Live Trades
From trading groups
Loading trades...
View All Live Trades See Trader Consensus & Signals