LXU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LXU - LSB INDUSTRIES INC
$11.12
0.43 (4.02%)
â˛
5d:
+8.7%
30d:
-8.93%
90d:
-14.26%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When LXU Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LXU is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -15.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LXU is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -15.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.84
Based on 6.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.42
27.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LXU is currently trading at $11.12, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.94 to $11.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.9) compared to its historical average (18.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LXU is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (26th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.70 (+23.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LXU is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (26th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.70 (+23.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.94 -
$11.52
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
26th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LXU? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 26th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 23.2% below Wall St target ($13.70)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.94 -
$11.52
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$0.90
(8.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.74
Resistance Level
$11.23
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.90
Wall Street Target
$13.70
(+23.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-69.2%
Profit Margin
5.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-15.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.9 vs 18.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-15.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.01
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$9.01
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$8.11
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11â18)
$13.54
(+22%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 8.0%)
$25.82
(+132%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: 8.0%)
$14.02
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 8.0%)
$11.92
(+7%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.52
Bull Case
$23.07
(+108%)
Analyst growth 96.2%, PE expands to 22.6
Base Case
$20.98
(+89%)
Market implied 96.2%, PE stable at 20.6
Bear Case
$7.27
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.9 to 18.2
Stabilization Target:
$18.57
(+67.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+67.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:51 AM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is LXU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Chemicals Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Chemicals by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CE
Celanese Corporation |
BUY
16 analysts |
$64 | 43 HOLD |
|
OLN
Olin Corporation |
SELL
16 analysts |
$22 | 74 BUY |
|
DOW
Dow Inc |
SELL
21 analysts |
$36 | 39 SELL |
|
MEOH
Methanex Corporation |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$70 | 32 SELL |
|
HUN
Huntsman Corporation |
SELL
15 analysts |
$12 | 62 BUY |
Advanced LXU Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LXU price and gamma walls.
