Methanex (MEOH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MEOH - Methanex Corp
$60.74
-2.40 (-3.80%)
âŧ
5d:
-4.51%
30d:
+2.69%
90d:
+8.74%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MEOH is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -7.1% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MEOH is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -7.1% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.34
Based on -15.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MEOH is currently trading at $60.74, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $59.15 to $63.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.8) compared to its historical average (12.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 164.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MEOH is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: MEOH scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.80 (+13.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MEOH is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: MEOH scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.80 (+13.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$59.15 -
$63.21
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
42.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($71.80)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$59.15 -
$63.21
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.77
Resistance Level
$65.67
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.78
Wall Street Target
$71.80
(+13.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
75.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
164.7%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.8 vs 12.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.66
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$54.49
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$50.62
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â12)
$63.13
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -34.4%)
$93.43
(+48%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: -34.4%)
$46.03
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: -34.4%)
$39.12
(-38%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 10.35 | Forward EPS (Implied): $6.10
Bull Case
$76.24
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.9
Base Case
$63.14
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.4
Bear Case
$48.30
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.8 to 12.2
Stabilization Target:
$78.73
(+24.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 3:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MEOH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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