Methanex (MEOH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MEOH - Methanex Corp
$62.90
0.18 (0.29%)
▲
5d:
+5.98%
30d:
+16.7%
90d:
+6.7%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MEOH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MEOH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.07
Based on -16.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.43
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MEOH is currently trading at $62.90, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.49 to $60.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.9) compared to its historical average (12.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 164.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MEOH is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $64.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MEOH scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.00 (+11.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MEOH is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $64.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MEOH scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.00 (+11.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$54.49 -
$60.53
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($70.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$54.49 -
$60.53
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.43
Resistance Level
$64.70
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.89
Wall Street Target
$70.00
(+11.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
75.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
164.7%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.9 vs 12.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$60.13
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$57.49
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$54.96
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$63.05
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -36.0%)
$84.89
(+35%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: -36.0%)
$45.85
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: -36.0%)
$38.98
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 11.00 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.72
Bull Case
$75.95
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 11.6
Base Case
$62.90
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 11.0
Bear Case
$48.12
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.9 to 12.5
Stabilization Target:
$72.17
(+14.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 5:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:03 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is MEOH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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