MEOH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MEOH - Methanex Corp
$50.92
2.26 (4.64%)
▲
5d:
+16.2%
30d:
-13.22%
90d:
-14.95%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MEOH appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -10.8% annual earnings decline despite 78% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MEOH appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -10.8% annual earnings decline despite 78% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.41
Based on -19.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.30
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MEOH is currently trading at $50.92, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.80 to $57.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.2) compared to its historical average (13.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 78.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MEOH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $55.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: MEOH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.78 (+45.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MEOH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $55.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: MEOH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.78 (+45.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$46.80 -
$57.17
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 45.5% below Wall St target ($70.78)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$46.80 -
$57.17
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$55.95
Resistance Level
$63.51
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.21
Wall Street Target
$70.78
(+45.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
78.1%
Profit Margin
-1.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.2 vs 13.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.79
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$39.41
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$35.47
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→13)
$50.07
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -42.2%)
$83.88
(+72%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: -42.2%)
$35.47
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: -42.2%)
$30.15
(-38%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.2 to 13.0
Stabilization Target:
$68.68
(+41.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+41.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 4:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MEOH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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