Dow (DOW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DOW - Dow Inc.
$27.59
0.05 (0.18%)
▲
5d:
-3.4%
30d:
-9.42%
90d:
-0.43%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
19d
Get Alerted When DOW Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DOW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DOW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.11
Based on -12.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DOW is currently trading at $27.59, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.25 to $30.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.1) compared to its historical average (25.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DOW is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $26.61, while resistance sits at $29.37.
Market Sentiment: DOW scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.81 (+22.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DOW is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $26.61, while resistance sits at $29.37.
Market Sentiment: DOW scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.81 (+22.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$28.25 -
$30.46
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DOW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (31/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.6% below Wall St target ($33.81)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.25 -
$30.46
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.61
Resistance Level
$29.37
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.07
Wall Street Target
$33.81
(+22.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-73.3%
Profit Margin
-3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.1 vs 25.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.83
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$22.35
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$20.11
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→26)
$32.29
(+17%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -28.9%)
$25.53
(+-8%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.1, Growth: -28.9%)
$20.11
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: -28.9%)
$17.10
(-38%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.1 to 25.8
Stabilization Target:
$44.29
(+60.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+60.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 2:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:50 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is DOW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Chemicals Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Chemicals by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CE
Celanese Corporation |
BUY
16 analysts |
$63 | 42 HOLD |
|
MEOH
Methanex Corporation |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$70 | 41 HOLD |
|
LXU
Lsb Industries Inc |
STRONG BUY
5 analysts |
$13 | 51 HOLD |
|
OLN
Olin Corporation |
SELL
16 analysts |
$21 | 49 HOLD |
|
TROX
Tronox Holdings PLC |
BUY
8 analysts |
$7 | 42 HOLD |
Advanced DOW Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DOW price and gamma walls.
