DOW
Dow Inc.
PLASTIC MATERIALS, SYNTH RESINS & NONVULCAN ELASTOMERS
Dow (DOW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$31.48
+0.52 (+1.68%)
â˛
5d:
-6.84%
30d:
+11.95%
90d:
+2.98%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
Protect DOW Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (48%)
Quality Score
40/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$28.73 â $33.21
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
17.2x
CHEAP
vs 24.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$34.76
+10.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$29.58 / $34.85
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DOW is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -11.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.03
Based on -12.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DOW is currently trading at $31.48, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.73 to $33.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.2) compared to its historical average (24.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 675.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DOW is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $29.58, while resistance sits at $34.85.
Market Sentiment: DOW scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.76 (+10.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DOW is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $29.58, while resistance sits at $34.85.
Market Sentiment: DOW scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.76 (+10.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$28.73 -
$33.21
Company Quality Score
40/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$28.73 -
$33.21
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$29.58
Resistance Level
$34.85
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($34.76)
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.18
Wall Street Target
$34.76
(+10.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
675.0%
Profit Margin
-2.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.2 vs 24.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.33
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$25.50
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$22.95
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17â25)
$32.86
(+4%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -29.1%)
$26.53
(+-16%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.2, Growth: -29.1%)
$22.95
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.6, Growth: -29.1%)
$19.51
(-38%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.2 to 24.6
Stabilization Target:
$45.08
(+43.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+43.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (DOW)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
The latest article discusses three dividend-paying chemical companies, LyondellBasell, Dow, and DuPont, and their ability to maintain their payouts in a challenging market environment. LyondellBasell, which produces basic plastics and is the largest licensor of polyethylene and polypropylene technologies, has kept raising its dividend.
Key Retail Themes:
Dividend-paying companies
Market challenges for chemical manufacturers
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 6:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:08 AM
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