MDB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MDB - MongoDB, Inc. Class A
$337.48
11.60 (3.56%)
▲
5d:
+13.16%
30d:
-6.09%
90d:
+34.55%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026
22d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MDB trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MDB trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$243.20
Based on 11.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$151.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MDB is currently trading at $337.48, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $306.79 to $348.92. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 56.3) compared to its historical average (64.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $338.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: MDB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $396.21 (+23.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $338.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: MDB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $396.21 (+23.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$306.79 -
$348.92
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 23.4% below Wall St target ($396.21)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$306.79 -
$348.92
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$291.79
Resistance Level
$338.64
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
56.32
Wall Street Target
$396.21
(+23.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Profit Margin
-1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
56.3 vs 64.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$307.61
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$294.69
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$282.32
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 56→64)
$320.82
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 56.3, Growth: 18.8%)
$537.99
(+68%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.8, Growth: 18.8%)
$198.79
(-38%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.7, Growth: 18.8%)
$168.97
(-47%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 56.3 to 64.0
Stabilization Target:
$364.90
(+13.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 2:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MDB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Dwight A Merriman
SELL
4000 shares
2026-04-16
Dwight A Merriman
SELL
8000 shares
2026-04-14
Hope F Cochran
SELL
1566 shares
2026-04-01
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Advanced MDB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MDB price and gamma walls.
