MDB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MDB - MongoDB, Inc. Class A
$342.08
-20.79 (-5.73%)
▼
5d:
-3.61%
30d:
+0.53%
90d:
+49.06%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.7/10
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1 traders called MDB this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MDB shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MDB shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$243.20
Based on 11.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$151.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MDB is currently trading at $342.08, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $323.33 to $371.88. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 60.0) is in line with its historical norms (64.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $292.72, while resistance sits at $412.00. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: MDB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $394.68 (+15.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $292.72, while resistance sits at $412.00. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: MDB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $394.68 (+15.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$323.33 -
$371.88
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($394.68)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$323.33 -
$371.88
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$292.72
Resistance Level
$412.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
60.00
Wall Street Target
$394.68
(+15.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Profit Margin
-1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
60.0 vs 64.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$334.21
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$326.53
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$319.02
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 60→64)
$342.42
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 60.0, Growth: 18.8%)
$573.14
(+68%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 18.8%)
$208.06
(-39%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 18.8%)
$176.85
(-48%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 60.0 to 64.4
Stabilization Target:
$367.18
(+7.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 4:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MDB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Dwight A Merriman
SELL
4000 shares
2026-04-16
Dwight A Merriman
SELL
8000 shares
2026-04-14
Hope F Cochran
SELL
1566 shares
2026-04-01
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Advanced MDB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MDB price and gamma walls.
