MongoDB (MDB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MDB - MongoDB, Inc. Class A
$362.21
-11.66 (-3.12%)
▼
5d:
-5.78%
30d:
-17.27%
90d:
+2.2%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 01, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 1, 2026 at $434.21 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MDB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MDB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$243.20
Based on 11.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$151.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MDB is currently trading at $362.21, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $375.81 to $444.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 63.5) is in line with its historical norms (65.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $354.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $455.80 (+25.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $354.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $455.80 (+25.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$375.81 -
$444.18
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MDB? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 25.8% below Wall St target ($455.80)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (54/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.8%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$375.81 -
$444.18
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$354.11
Resistance Level
$457.85
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
63.53
Wall Street Target
$455.80
(+25.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
63.5 vs 65.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$359.31
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$356.44
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$353.59
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 64→65)
$362.33
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 63.5, Growth: 18.8%)
$606.87
(+68%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 18.8%)
$192.68
(-47%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 18.8%)
$163.78
(-55%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 61.35 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.90
Bull Case
$437.37
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 64.4
Base Case
$362.21
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 61.4
Bear Case
$277.09
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 55.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 63.5 to 65.1
Stabilization Target:
$371.17
(+2.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 1:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MDB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Dwight A Merriman
SELL
4000 shares
2026-04-16
Dwight A Merriman
SELL
8000 shares
2026-04-14
Hope F Cochran
SELL
1566 shares
2026-04-01
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Advanced MDB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MDB price and gamma walls.
