Is MDB stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, MDB is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: MDB is fairly valued with market pricing in -0.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

What is the fair value of MDB stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for MDB to be between $349.31 and $399.53. The current price is $371.09.

What is the analyst price target for MDB?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for MDB is $452.50. This implies a potential upside of 21.9% from current levels.

MongoDB (MDB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MDB - MongoDB, Inc. Class A

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$371.09

8.85 (2.44%) ▲

5d: +9.93%

30d: -11.94%

90d: +19.82%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your MDB Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Dec 07, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 16, 2026 at $337.57 · last confirmed Oct 22, 2026

Strength: 7.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MDB is fairly valued with market pricing in -0.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 18.8%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$243.20

Based on 11.4% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$151.01

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MDB is currently trading at $371.09, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $349.31 to $399.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 65.1) is in line with its historical norms (65.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MDB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $328.15, while resistance sits at $411.49.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $452.50 (+21.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $349.31 - $399.53

Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 73.3%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (57/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 21.9% below Wall St target ($452.50)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (57/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $349.31 - $399.53

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $328.15

Resistance Level $411.49

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 23, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 65.09

Wall Street Target $452.50 (+21.9%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 30.5%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 2.2%

Profit Margin 2.1%

PE vs Historical 65.1 vs 65.2 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): 0% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $371.09 (0%)

2-Year Target $371.09 (0%)

3-Year Target $371.09 (0%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 65→65) $371.74 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 65.1, Growth: 18.8%) $621.75 (+68%)

Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 18.8%) $189.72 (-49%)

Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 18.8%) $161.26 (-57%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (70x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (65x PE) as earnings recover.

Forward PE: 70.42 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.27

Bull Case $448.09 (+21%)

Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 73.9

Base Case $371.09 (0%)

Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 70.4

Bear Case $283.88 (-24%)

Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 63.4

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: October 23, 2026 9:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:13 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced MDB Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MDB price and gamma walls.

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