MongoDB (MDB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$334.20
-5.58 (-1.64%)
▼
5d:
+6.83%
30d:
-8.81%
90d:
-23.82%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Dec 01, 2026
16d
Protect MDB Gains
Updated Nov 13, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
54/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$334.41 – $382.46
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
58.6x
FAIR
vs 64.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$452.03
+35.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$296.54 / $352.06
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: MDB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 9, 2026 at $331.00 · last confirmed Nov 10, 2026
Strength: 6.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$243.20
Based on 11.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$151.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MDB is currently trading at $334.20, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $334.41 to $382.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 58.6) is in line with its historical norms (64.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $296.54, while resistance sits at $352.06.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $452.03 (+35.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $296.54, while resistance sits at $352.06.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $452.03 (+35.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$334.41 -
$382.46
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$334.41 -
$382.46
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$296.54
Resistance Level
$352.06
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding MDB? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.3% below Wall St target ($452.03)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (46/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
58.62
Wall Street Target
$452.03
(+35.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
58.6 vs 64.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$323.17
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$312.51
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$302.19
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 59→65)
$334.59
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 58.6, Growth: 18.8%)
$559.94
(+68%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 18.8%)
$189.72
(-43%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 18.8%)
$161.26
(-52%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 45.66 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.32
Bull Case
$403.55
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 48.0
Base Case
$334.20
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 45.7
Bear Case
$255.66
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 41.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 58.6 to 64.9
Stabilization Target:
$370.03
(+10.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.7%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MDB)
Bullish
4 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
3
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 12, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits is bullish on $MDB with one message predicting a price level of 360. The latest Yahoo Finance news reports on analyst upgrades and rising odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December due to higher-than-expected inflation.
Key Retail Themes:
Federal Reserve rate hike
Analyst upgrades
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 4:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MDB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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