MTD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTD - Mettler-Toledo International
$1164.07
19.23 (1.68%)
▲
5d:
+2.88%
30d:
+7.52%
90d:
-3.35%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MTD trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MTD trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1792.00
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1112.69
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTD is currently trading at $1164.07, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1090.22 to $1172.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.7) compared to its historical average (26.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTD is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $1198.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MTD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1327.83 (+14.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTD is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $1198.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MTD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1327.83 (+14.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$1090.22 -
$1172.37
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($1327.83)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$1090.22 -
$1172.37
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$47.71
(4.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1089.41
Resistance Level
$1198.02
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.70
Wall Street Target
$1327.83
(+14.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Profit Margin
21.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.7 vs 26.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1105.87
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$1050.57
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$998.04
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→27)
$1165.00
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.7, Growth: 9.9%)
$1545.65
(+33%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.9%)
$1482.86
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 9.9%)
$1260.43
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $42.59
Bull Case
$1512.97
(+30%)
Analyst growth 20.4%, PE expands to 29.5
Base Case
$1375.42
(+18%)
Market implied 20.4%, PE stable at 26.8
Bear Case
$776.86
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.7 to 26.5
Stabilization Target:
$1358.80
(+16.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Shawn Vadala
SELL
800 shares
2026-02-10
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Advanced MTD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MTD price and gamma walls.
