MTD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTD - Mettler-Toledo International
$1416.30
35.69 (2.59%)
▲
5d:
+6.71%
30d:
+8.91%
90d:
+10.94%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MTD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MTD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1780.36
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1105.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTD is currently trading at $1416.30, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1259.96 to $1353.57. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.7) is in line with its historical norms (26.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTD is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $1216.90, while resistance sits at $1465.01.
Market Sentiment: MTD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTD is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $1216.90, while resistance sits at $1465.01.
Market Sentiment: MTD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$1259.96 -
$1353.57
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.2%
Protect Your Profits
MTD is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($1317.09)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$1259.96 -
$1353.57
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$55.86
(3.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1216.90
Resistance Level
$1465.01
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.67
Wall Street Target
$1317.09
(-7.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.3%
Profit Margin
21.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
27.7 vs 26.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1440.38
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$1464.86
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$1489.77
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$1415.79
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.7, Growth: 9.7%)
$1868.66
(+32%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 9.7%)
$1399.76
(-1%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 9.7%)
$1189.80
(-16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $44.32
Bull Case
$1753.65
(+24%)
Analyst growth 15.5%, PE expands to 34.3
Base Case
$1594.23
(+13%)
Market implied 15.5%, PE stable at 31.2
Bear Case
$938.81
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 8:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Shawn Vadala
SELL
800 shares
2026-02-10
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Advanced MTD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MTD price and gamma walls.
