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Mettler-Toledo International (MTD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$1751.38
-10.90 (-0.62%) ▼
5d: +3.14% 30d: +12.05% 90d: +21.75%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (38%)
Quality Score
38/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$1567.95 – $1714.85
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
32.9x STRETCHED
vs 27.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$1683.33
-3.9% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$1660.08 / $1806.58
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MTD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1921.57
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1193.14
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MTD is currently trading at $1751.38, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1567.95 to $1714.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 32.9) compared to its historical average (27.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MTD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $1660.08, while resistance sits at $1806.58.

Market Sentiment: MTD scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $1567.95 - $1714.85
Company Quality Score 38/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 37.7%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $1567.95 - $1714.85
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$71.12 (4.1%)
Support Level $1660.08
Resistance Level $1806.58
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 10, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($1683.33)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.7% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 32.89
Wall Street Target $1683.33 (-3.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 16.3%
Profit Margin 22.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +6.7% premium
PE vs Historical 32.9 vs 27.1 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +6.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $1868.72 (+7%)
2-Year Target $1993.93 (+14%)
3-Year Target $2127.52 (+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 33→27) PE COMPRESSION $1752.80 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 32.9, Growth: 11.3%) $2417.24 (+38%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.3%) $1459.45 (-17%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 11.3%) $1240.53 (-29%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $46.07
Bull Case $2240.37 (+28%)
Analyst growth 15.6%, PE expands to 42.1
Base Case $2036.70 (+16%)
Market implied 15.6%, PE stable at 38.3
Bear Case $1198.35 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MTD)

Bearish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Sep 23, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Bearish sentiment prevails on StockTwits regarding $MTD's involvement with European stocks.
Key Retail Themes: European exposure
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 10, 2026 8:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:58 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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