NEWT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NEWT - NewtekOne, Inc. Common Stock
$13.91
0.30 (2.20%)
▲
5d:
+1.53%
30d:
+8.16%
90d:
+20.85%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NEWT is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: NEWT is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.88
Based on 5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.48
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NEWT is currently trading at $13.91, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.04 to $13.84. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.5) is in line with its historical norms (5.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEWT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $14.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.80 (+20.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEWT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $14.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.80 (+20.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$13.04 -
$13.84
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.8% below Wall St target ($16.80)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.04 -
$13.84
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.64
Resistance Level
$14.10
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.49
Wall Street Target
$16.80
(+20.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
22.9%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
5.5 vs 5.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.19
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$14.47
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$14.76
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.97
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.2%)
$65.99
(+374%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.5, Growth: 6.2%)
$16.64
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.7, Growth: 6.2%)
$14.15
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (6x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 6.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.26
Bull Case
$16.77
(+21%)
Analyst growth 12.0%, PE expands to 6.6
Base Case
$15.25
(+10%)
Market implied 12.0%, PE stable at 6.0
Bear Case
$9.25
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 21, 2026 6:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:18 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NEWT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Frank M Demaria
BUY
1556 shares
2026-01-14
Halli Razon-Feingold
BUY
1258 shares
2026-01-14
Michael Adam Schwartz
BUY
2247 shares
2026-01-14
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