NEWT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NEWT - NewtekOne, Inc. Common Stock
$12.65
-0.99 (-7.26%)
▼
5d:
-8.53%
30d:
-1.33%
90d:
-0.39%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NEWT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NEWT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.88
Based on 5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.48
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NEWT is currently trading at $12.65, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.84 to $13.72. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.0) is in line with its historical norms (5.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 22.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEWT is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $12.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.80 (+32.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEWT is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $12.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.80 (+32.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$12.84 -
$13.72
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 32.8% below Wall St target ($16.80)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.5% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.84 -
$13.72
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.64
Resistance Level
$14.10
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.00
Wall Street Target
$16.80
(+32.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
22.9%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.0 vs 5.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.52
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$12.40
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$12.27
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→5)
$12.78
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 6.2%)
$66.38
(+425%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.0, Growth: 6.2%)
$15.14
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.2, Growth: 6.2%)
$12.87
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (6x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 6.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.26
Bull Case
$17.04
(+23%)
Analyst growth 12.0%, PE expands to 6.7
Base Case
$15.49
(+12%)
Market implied 12.0%, PE stable at 6.1
Bear Case
$9.40
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.0 to 5.2
Stabilization Target:
$13.17
(+4.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 10:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NEWT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Frank M Demaria
BUY
1556 shares
2026-01-14
Halli Razon-Feingold
BUY
1258 shares
2026-01-14
Michael Adam Schwartz
BUY
2247 shares
2026-01-14
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