NEWT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NEWT - NewtekOne, Inc. Common Stock
$14.92
0.09 (0.61%)
▲
5d:
+3.83%
30d:
+2.4%
90d:
+13.72%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NEWT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NEWT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.40
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.81
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NEWT is currently trading at $14.92, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.39 to $15.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 5.9) compared to its historical average (5.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEWT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.15. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.20 (+15.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEWT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.15. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.20 (+15.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$14.39 -
$15.06
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
39th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 39th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($17.20)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.39 -
$15.06
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.07
(7.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.13
Resistance Level
$15.15
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.91
Wall Street Target
$17.20
(+15.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
22.9%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.9% premium
PE vs Historical
5.9 vs 5.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.50
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$16.11
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$16.73
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.01
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 6.8%)
$63.84
(+328%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.9, Growth: 6.8%)
$18.20
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.0, Growth: 6.8%)
$15.47
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 6.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.26
Bull Case
$18.23
(+22%)
Analyst growth 11.7%, PE expands to 7.2
Base Case
$16.57
(+11%)
Market implied 11.7%, PE stable at 6.6
Bear Case
$10.08
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 9:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NEWT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced NEWT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NEWT price and gamma walls.