NFBK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NFBK - Northfield Bancorp, Inc.
$15.31
0.45 (3.03%)
â˛
5d:
+4.72%
30d:
+6.17%
90d:
+9.91%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 20, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NFBK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NFBK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.47
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.47
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NFBK is currently trading at $15.31, which is considered fair based on recent price action. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.2) is in line with its historical norms (9.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NFBK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: NFBK scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NFBK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: NFBK scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.0%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($14.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.42
Resistance Level
$15.61
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 20, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.21
Wall Street Target
$14.50
(-5.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
56.7%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.6% premium
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 9.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.71
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$16.12
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$16.54
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â9)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.23
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.9, Growth: 7.1%)
$38.65
(+153%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 7.1%)
$18.83
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 7.1%)
$16.01
(+5%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 12:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NFBK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
David Fasanella
BUY
7500 shares
2026-03-19
Paul Stahlin
BUY
10000 shares
2026-03-17
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