NFBK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NFBK - Northfield Bancorp, Inc.
$14.38
-0.03 (-0.21%)
▼
5d:
-2.71%
30d:
+1.34%
90d:
+8.77%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NFBK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NFBK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.47
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.47
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NFBK is currently trading at $14.38, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.11 to $14.55. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.6) is in line with its historical norms (9.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NFBK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.03. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NFBK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.03. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$14.11 -
$14.55
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($14.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.11 -
$14.55
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.03
Resistance Level
$14.71
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.59
Wall Street Target
$14.50
(+0.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
56.7%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 9.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.48
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$14.58
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$14.68
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.40
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.1%)
$40.18
(+179%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: 7.1%)
$17.69
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: 7.1%)
$15.03
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 22.83 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.63
Bull Case
$17.36
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 24.0
Base Case
$14.38
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 22.8
Bear Case
$11.00
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 20.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NFBK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
David Fasanella
BUY
7500 shares
2026-03-19
Paul Stahlin
BUY
10000 shares
2026-03-17
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