NFBK Northfield Bancorp, Inc. SAVINGS INSTITUTION, FEDERALLY CHARTERED Best Savings Banks Stocks 2026 →

Northfield Bancorp (NFBK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$15.31
+0.45 (+3.03%) ▲
5d: +4.72% 30d: +6.17% 90d: +9.91%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (77%)
Quality Score
51/100
Position
FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.2x FAIR
vs 9.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$14.50
-5.3% vs target
Options IV & Volume
UNKNOWN Vol
UNKNOWN volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$14.42 / $15.61
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: NFBK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.47
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.47
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NFBK is currently trading at $15.31, which is considered fair based on recent price action. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.2) is in line with its historical norms (9.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NFBK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: NFBK scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation UNKNOWN
Confidence Score 77.1%

Trading Range & Key Levels

Support Level $14.42
Resistance Level $15.61
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 20, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.0%)
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($14.50)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.21
Wall Street Target $14.50 (-5.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 24.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 56.7%
Profit Margin 3.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.6% premium
PE vs Historical 10.2 vs 9.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $15.71 (+3%)
2-Year Target $16.12 (+5%)
3-Year Target $16.54 (+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→9) PE COMPRESSION $15.23 (-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.9, Growth: 7.1%) $38.65 (+153%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 7.1%) $18.83 (+23%)
Bear: (PE: 8.7, Growth: 7.1%) $16.01 (+5%)
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (NFBK)

Bullish 1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 21, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Columbia Financial completes conversion and merger, creating one of the largest community banks in the region with $18.0 billion in total assets.
Key Retail Themes: Company's growth and market expansion Strong market position and local focus
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 10:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:16 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive NFBK Research Pages
NFBK Technical Chart NFBK Price Prediction NFBK Intrinsic Value DCF NFBK Earnings Date NFBK Investment Advisor NFBK Fair Price Analyzer NFBK Competitors
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