NIQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NIQ - NIQ Global Intelligence plc
$11.56
0.39 (3.49%)
▲
5d:
+4.43%
30d:
+17.0%
90d:
+11.15%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NIQ is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: NIQ is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.90
Based on 13.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.36
6.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NIQ is currently trading at $11.56, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.02 to $11.41. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.5) is in line with its historical norms (8.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NIQ is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.23, while resistance sits at $12.13. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.62 (+26.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NIQ is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.23, while resistance sits at $12.13. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.62 (+26.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$9.02 -
$11.41
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 26.4% below Wall St target ($14.62)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.02 -
$11.41
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.23
Resistance Level
$12.13
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.53
Wall Street Target
$14.62
(+26.4%)
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
9.5 vs 8.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.90
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$12.24
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$12.60
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.49
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 23.5%)
$47.33
(+309%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: 23.5%)
$21.77
(+88%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: 23.5%)
$18.50
(+60%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 2:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NIQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL