NMM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NMM - Navios Maritime Partners L.P.
$72.29
-0.24 (-0.33%)
▼
5d:
-2.31%
30d:
-2.99%
90d:
+5.87%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NMM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NMM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$171.98
Based on 13.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$106.79
32.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NMM is currently trading at $72.29, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $70.85 to $74.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.2) compared to its historical average (5.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 163.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $73.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.00 (+26.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $73.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.00 (+26.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$70.85 -
$74.14
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.8% below Wall St target ($92.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$70.85 -
$74.14
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$68.99
Resistance Level
$73.88
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.24
Wall Street Target
$92.00
(+26.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
163.2%
Profit Margin
25.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.2 vs 5.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$66.29
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$60.59
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$55.38
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→6)
$71.84
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 22.0%)
$375.06
(+417%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.2, Growth: 22.0%)
$73.01
(+1%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.6, Growth: 22.0%)
$62.06
(-14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (6x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 6.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.85
Bull Case
$114.08
(+57%)
Analyst growth 44.4%, PE expands to 6.7
Base Case
$103.71
(+43%)
Market implied 44.4%, PE stable at 6.1
Bear Case
$48.85
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.2 to 5.5
Stabilization Target:
$94.09
(+29.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 11:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NMM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
19
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
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