NXST Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NXST - Nexstar Media Group, Inc. Common Stock
$175.56
0.10 (0.06%)
▲
5d:
-2.15%
30d:
+0.6%
90d:
-4.74%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NXST appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.8% annual earnings decline despite 51% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NXST appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.8% annual earnings decline despite 51% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$108.48
Based on -12.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$67.36
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NXST is currently trading at $175.56, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $166.30 to $179.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.2) compared to its historical average (9.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 51.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NXST is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $175.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NXST has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $251.62 (+43.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NXST is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $175.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NXST has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $251.62 (+43.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$166.30 -
$179.58
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.3% below Wall St target ($251.62)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$166.30 -
$179.58
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$175.84
Resistance Level
$190.81
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.25
Wall Street Target
$251.63
(+43.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
51.0%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.3 vs 9.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$161.87
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$149.24
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$137.60
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→9)
$174.53
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -29.2%)
$384.31
(+119%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.3, Growth: -29.2%)
$127.98
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.2, Growth: -29.2%)
$108.79
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.71
Bull Case
$382.91
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 40.7
Base Case
$348.10
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 37.0
Bear Case
$118.35
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.3 to 9.2
Stabilization Target:
$222.68
(+26.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 15, 2026 12:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NXST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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