NXST Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NXST - Nexstar Media Group, Inc. Common Stock
$186.24
0.10 (0.05%)
â˛
5d:
+0.78%
30d:
+1.6%
90d:
-1.29%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NXST is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.1% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NXST is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.1% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$99.40
Based on -13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$61.72
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NXST is currently trading at $186.24, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $183.46 to $192.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.0) compared to its historical average (9.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 18.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NXST is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $191.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $246.75 (+32.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NXST is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $191.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $246.75 (+32.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$183.46 -
$192.06
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.5% below Wall St target ($246.75)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$183.46 -
$192.06
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$179.79
Resistance Level
$191.03
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.99
Wall Street Target
$246.75
(+32.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
62.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.0%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 9.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$178.60
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$171.28
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$164.26
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8â9)
$187.04
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -30.4%)
$340.62
(+83%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: -30.4%)
$135.77
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: -30.4%)
$115.40
(-38%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.28
Bull Case
$409.51
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.8
Base Case
$372.28
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 35.3
Bear Case
$126.58
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.0 to 9.1
Stabilization Target:
$212.06
(+13.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 6:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NXST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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