NXST Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NXST - Nexstar Media Group, Inc. Common Stock
$186.14
-1.15 (-0.61%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.81%
30d:
+2.75%
90d:
-1.73%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When NXST Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NXST is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.1% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NXST is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.1% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$99.40
Based on -13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$61.72
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NXST is currently trading at $186.14, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $183.28 to $192.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.0) compared to its historical average (9.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 18.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NXST is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $179.79, while resistance sits at $193.99.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $246.75 (+32.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NXST is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $179.79, while resistance sits at $193.99.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $246.75 (+32.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$183.28 -
$192.03
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (57/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.6% below Wall St target ($246.75)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$183.28 -
$192.03
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$179.79
Resistance Level
$193.99
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.99
Wall Street Target
$246.75
(+32.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
62.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.0%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 9.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$178.51
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$171.19
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$164.17
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8â9)
$187.04
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -30.4%)
$340.96
(+83%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: -30.4%)
$135.70
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: -30.4%)
$115.34
(-38%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.28
Bull Case
$412.04
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 39.0
Base Case
$374.58
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 35.5
Bear Case
$127.36
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.0 to 9.1
Stabilization Target:
$212.06
(+13.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 8:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:33 AM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is NXST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Broadcasting Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Broadcasting by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TGNA
Tegna Inc |
BUY
6 analysts |
$22 | 48 HOLD |
|
FUBO
Fubotv Inc |
HOLD
8 analysts |
$17 | 42 HOLD |
|
GTN
Gray Television Inc |
BUY
5 analysts |
$7 | 32 SELL |
|
SBGI
Sinclair Broadcast GroupâĻ |
SELL
7 analysts |
$17 | 51 HOLD |
|
SSP
E. W. Scripps Co Class A |
HOLD
5 analysts |
$6 | 39 SELL |
