NXST Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NXST - Nexstar Media Group, Inc. Common Stock
$175.46
1.41 (0.81%)
▲
5d:
-4.0%
30d:
+1.18%
90d:
-4.6%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NXST appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.1% annual earnings decline despite 51% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NXST appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.1% annual earnings decline despite 51% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$109.66
Based on -12.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NXST is currently trading at $175.46, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $166.60 to $180.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.2) compared to its historical average (9.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 51.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NXST is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $175.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NXST has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $251.62 (+44.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NXST is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $175.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NXST has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $251.62 (+44.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$166.60 -
$180.39
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 44.6% below Wall St target ($251.62)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$166.60 -
$180.39
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$175.84
Resistance Level
$190.81
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.19
Wall Street Target
$251.63
(+44.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
51.0%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.2 vs 9.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$159.95
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$147.00
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$135.09
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→9)
$174.71
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -29.2%)
$384.31
(+121%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.2, Growth: -29.2%)
$126.88
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.1, Growth: -29.2%)
$107.85
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.73
Bull Case
$388.61
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 41.1
Base Case
$353.28
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 37.3
Bear Case
$120.12
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.2 to 9.3
Stabilization Target:
$225.10
(+29.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 4:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NXST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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