NXST
Nexstar Media Group, Inc. Common Stock
TELEVISION BROADCASTING STATIONS
Nexstar Media Group (NXST) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$209.74
+3.15 (+1.52%)
▲
5d:
+13.3%
30d:
+30.63%
90d:
+11.18%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (18%)
Quality Score
35/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$157.43 – $186.56
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.2x
FAIR
vs 8.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$245.38
+17.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$164.56 / $209.86
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: NXST is 12.4% above its trading range ($186.56). Market expects 2.5% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$80.51
Based on -15.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NXST is currently trading at $209.74, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $157.43 to $186.56. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.2) is in line with its historical norms (8.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NXST is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $209.86. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NXST scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $245.38 (+17.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NXST is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $209.86. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NXST scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $245.38 (+17.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$157.43 -
$186.56
Company Quality Score
35/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
17.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$157.43 -
$186.56
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$164.56
Resistance Level
$209.86
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+12.4% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($245.38)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.23
Wall Street Target
$245.38
(+17.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
78.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
270.1%
Profit Margin
5.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.5% premium
PE vs Historical
9.2 vs 8.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$214.98
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$220.36
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$225.87
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$210.40
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -34.3%)
$328.92
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: -34.3%)
$152.90
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: -34.3%)
$129.97
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.05
Bull Case
$454.50
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 20.6
Base Case
$413.18
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 18.7
Bear Case
$140.48
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (NXST)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Apr 30, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits user disclosed a new position in $NXST, expressing confidence in adding more shares during price dips.
Key Retail Themes:
buy the dips
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NXST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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