NXST Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NXST - Nexstar Media Group, Inc. Common Stock
$190.53
-1.90 (-0.99%)
▼
5d:
+3.94%
30d:
+5.05%
90d:
-8.46%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
2d
Get Alerted When NXST Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NXST shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NXST shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$106.28
Based on -12.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$65.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NXST is currently trading at $190.53, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $171.31 to $189.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.9) compared to its historical average (9.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 51.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NXST is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $175.84, while resistance sits at $198.96.
Market Sentiment: NXST has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $251.62 (+32.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NXST is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $175.84, while resistance sits at $198.96.
Market Sentiment: NXST has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $251.62 (+32.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$171.31 -
$189.02
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.1% below Wall St target ($251.62)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$171.31 -
$189.02
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$175.84
Resistance Level
$198.96
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.90
Wall Street Target
$251.63
(+32.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
51.0%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 9.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$181.58
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$173.04
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$164.91
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$190.04
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: -29.4%)
$364.62
(+91%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: -29.4%)
$138.90
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: -29.4%)
$118.06
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.73
Bull Case
$423.35
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 44.8
Base Case
$384.86
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 40.7
Bear Case
$130.85
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.9 to 9.1
Stabilization Target:
$219.56
(+15.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 11:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is NXST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Broadcasting Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Broadcasting by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TGNA
Tegna Inc |
BUY
6 analysts |
$22 | 59 HOLD |
|
GTN
Gray Television Inc |
BUY
5 analysts |
$7 | 55 HOLD |
|
FUBO
Fubotv Inc |
HOLD
8 analysts |
$17 | 53 HOLD |
|
SBGI
Sinclair Broadcast Group… |
SELL
7 analysts |
$18 | 49 HOLD |
|
SSP
E. W. Scripps Co Class A |
HOLD
5 analysts |
$6 | 45 HOLD |
